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Hockey East Tournament Playoff Picture: February 22, 2015

Where we stand with one regular season weekend to go.

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Five more games are in the books. Here's where we stand heading into the final weekend of the regular season.

Seed Program GP W L T Pts GF GA Remaining
1 Boston University 20 13 4 3 29 77 48 NU, @ NU
2 Boston College 20 11 6 3 25 57 47 @ ND x2
3 UMass Lowell 20 10 7 3 23 64 49 UVM x2
Notre Dame 20 9 6 5 23 61 51 BC x2

Providence 20 11 8 1 23 51 33 ME x2
6 Northeastern 20 10 8 2 22 63 48 @ BU, BU
Vermont 20 10 8 2 22 59 47 @ UML x2
8 Maine 20 8 10 2 18 60 64 @ PC x2
9 New Hampshire 20 8 11 1 17 59 67 MC x2
10 Connecticut 21 6 11 4 16 38 74 UMA
11 Merrimack 20 5 12 3 13 37 49 @ UNH x2
12 Massachusetts 21 5 15 1 11 59 98 @ UC

NOTES:

– Boston University left the door open ever so slightly for BC to win the Hockey East regular season title with a 3-2 loss to the Irish on Saturday night. BU's magic number for an outright regular season title remains at 1 point. Any combination of a single point for BU vs. Northeastern next weekend, or a point for Notre Dame vs. BC, would give the Terriers the outright conference title.

– The only scenario where BC can earn the Hockey East Tournament 1 seed is if BC sweeps the weekend series vs. Notre Dame and Northeastern sweeps BU. It would then come down to which club finishes in third, as the BC-BU head-to-head would be knotted at 1-1, as would the number of conference wins at 13. The next tiebreaker goes to "best record against the first-place team(s), then the second place team(s), then the third place team(s), and so on." In this scenario, if:

a) Northeastern finishes third, BC would earn the 1 seed finishing 1-0-1 vs. the Huskies (BU would finish 0-2-0).
b) UMass Lowell finishes third, BU would earn the 1 seed finishing 2-0-0 vs. the River Hawks (BC would finish 0-1-1). 
c) Providence finishes third, the tiebreaker would go to the fourth seed as both BC and BU split the regular season series 1-1-0 with the Friars.

– Lowell, Notre Dame and Providence are all tied for the third seed with 23 points. If the season ended today, Providence would earn the 3 seed with a 3-1-0 record against the tied teams. Lowell and Notre Dame would finish with identical 1-2-1 records against the tied teams, but Lowell wins the head-to-head over the Irish 1-0-1 and would get the 4 seed. Notre Dame would be the 5.

– Northeastern and Vermont are all tied up at 22 points. The regular season series is tied at 1-1-0. If Northeastern manages a point against BU this weekend and the Terriers go on to win the regular season, the Huskies would win the tiebreaker over Vermont (UVM went 0-2-0 vs. BU). If both NU and UVM finish 0-2-0 vs. BU, the tiebreaker would move to the second place team (likely BC). Should BC take the #1 seed, or the tiebreaker move to the #2 seed, Vermont would win the tiebreaker with a 1-1-0 record vs. BC (NU went 0-1-1 vs. BC).

And here's how the Hockey East Tournament would look if the season ended today:

Friday - Sunday, March 6-8: Best-of-Three Opening Round
Play on Campus

(12) Massachusetts vs. (5) Notre Dame (ND leads 2-0-0)
(11) Merrimack at (6) Vermont / Northeastern (UVM leads 1-0-1, NU & MC tied 1-1-0)
(10) Connecticut at (7) Vermont / Northeastern (UC & UVM tied 1-1-0, NU leads 2-0-0)
(9) New Hampshire at (8) Maine (ME leads 2-0-0)

Friday - Sunday, March 13-15: Best-of-Three Quarterfinal Round
Play on Campus

Lowest remaining seed at (1) Boston University
Second-lowest remaining seed at (2) Boston College
Second-highest remaining seed at (3) Providence
Highest remaining seed at (4) UMass Lowell

Friday, March 20: Semifinals Games
TD Garden

Saturday, March 21: Championship Final
TD Garden

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The top four seeds remain unchanged, with BC needing 3 points vs. Notre Dame to lock up the 2 seed. Either way, should be a crazy finish to the regular season with three teams tied at 23, and two teams just one point behind them heading into the final weekend.