Boston College and Miami: Eagles Win If, Eagles Lose If, Win Probability

As BC Interruption concludes our week previewing our upcoming matchup with the Miami Hurricanes, let’s look at the game itself. Today, we are going to take one final look at the game, and take some stabs at what the Boston College Eagles will need to do to win this matchup.

BC Will Win If

They can force a slow, physical game. Miami’s offense has a stable of speedy skill players that is very capable of creating big plays. The Eagles defense features what could be one of their better secondary units in recent years, and they should be up to the task of containing the Canes’ receivers. Miami’s defense held opponents to a stout 3.5 yards per carry in 2017, but AJ Dillon and the BC O-line are looking to build on last year’s strong rushing attack. If they can establish the run game and control the clock, the Eagles will pull off the upset.

BC Will Lose If

The dreaded Turnover Chain makes multiple appearances. Miami’s opportunistic defense ranked third in the nation in turnovers forced last season. BC did a pretty good job of protecting the football in 2017, turning it over 1.5 times per game, but the elite speed and ball skills of the Canes’ secondary could wreak havoc on an unproven Eagles passing attack.

Win Probability

35%. The atmosphere at Alumni Stadium will be electric for this Friday night tilt. Miami enters the season ranked 13^th in the country, and this should be one of the tougher matchups on their quest for a playoff spot. BC will look to control the game and keep the crowd behind them, but with the Hurricanes’ big play capabilities, this one could get away quickly.