This weekend, Boston College looks to inch one step closer to bowl eligibility with a critical matchup against the visiting Colorado State Rams. The Wynn Las Vegas expects BC to do just that, but just barely, installing the Eagles as an early 4-point home favorite against the Rams.
Boston College is 3-1 against the spread this year with wins over Massachusetts (BC -17), USC (BC +17) and Maine (BC -22.5). The only game in which BC has failed to cover this year was its 30-20 home loss to Pittsburgh back in week 2 (BC +5).
Colorado State is 2-1 on the year with wins over in-state rival Colorado in the opener (W 31-17) and FCS UC-Davis (W 49-21) and a 37-24 loss at Boise State in the Rams Mountain West opener. CSU also sits at 2-1 ATS, covering in both victories but failing to cover in the loss to the Broncos (CSU +7.5).
The Rams are 4-4 all-time vs. current members of the ACC, but haven't faced a team from the conference since falling to BC 35-21 in the 2003 Diamond Walnut San Francisco Bowl. CSU's victories over now-ACC teams have come against Florida State (1974), Louisville (2000 and 2002) and Virginia (2002). Only one of those eight games was played against a team that was in the ACC at the time, technically making Colorado State undefeated against the conference -- a 35-29 victory over Virginia in 2002.
Boston College is 3-0 against the Mountain West Conference with victories over Colorado State and BYU x2, but just 6-5 against current members of the conference. Four of the five losses have come against Air Force (1963, 1970, 1972, 1978) and the fifth vs. Nevada in the 2010 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl in San Francisco.
Addazio is 7-2 in home games as head coach of the Eagles. Colorado State head coach Jim McIlwain is 3-9 in road games going back to the start of the 2012 season, including 0-5 in his first year in Fort Collins. ESPN's Football Power Index gives the Eagles a 60.9 percent chance of moving to 4-1 this weekend.
Other week 5 lines of note:
-- N.C. State (4-0) is a 25.5-point home underdog as they host #1 Florida State (3-0).
-- Clemson (1-2) is a 11-point home favorite hosting North Carolina (2-1).
-- Wake Forest (2-2) is a three TD road dog at Louisville (3-1). Pray for #therivalry.
-- Coming off back-to-back home losses for the first time since 1995, Virginia Tech (2-2) is a 27.5-point home favorite as the Hokies host the MAC's Western Michigan (2-1) in non-conference play.
-- After dropping last week's non-conference home game to Maryland, Syracuse (2-1) finds themselves a 13-point "home" underdog as the Orange hosts #8 Notre Dame (3-0) at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands.
-- Massachusetts returns to McGuirk Stadium to host Bowling Green in the Minutemen's MAC opener. UMass is a 12-point home underdog.
-- Coming off a bye week, #18 Southern California (2-1) is a 12.5-point home favorite against Oregon State (3-0).