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College Football Betting Picks, Week 11: Alabama-LSU, Texas A&M-Auburn And Louisville-Boston College

Weekly selections from the ACC, SEC, Mountain West and Pac-12.

Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Last week:

Jeff: 4-1 (26-24 on the year)
Brian: 3-2 (17-28 on the year)
ATL: 1-0 (3-5)


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3.5) at N.C. State Wolfpack - We all know the Atlantic Division is stronger than the Coastal Division but that does not mean that the two worst teams in the Atlantic are better than any of the teams in the Coastal, let alone the 2 or 3 best. Georgia Tech and Duke win easy.

Duke Blue Devils (-3.5) at Syracuse Orange - See above.

Virginia Cavaliers at Florida St. Seminoles (-19) - I am going to keep riding FSU. FSU has certainly played down to its competition, especially a few times in the first half. But Florida State is 5 or 6 TDs better than UVA at home. I'll take this bet all day even though I am aware there is a chance they let UVA hang around for a while and just pull away in the 4th quarter.

Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles (+3.5) - I like BC to win this weekend. I don't love them to win but I do think Murphy will make a lot of plays on Louisville later in the game to get the win. If this were a day game, I would not be nearly as confident but I think we will see a great effort out of the defense especially in front of the home crowd. Since BC is getting 3.5 and has a better than 50% chance of winning, this is a good bet.

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers (+6.5) - This is all about LSU playing at home at night and the SEC West beating each other up so they'll all finish with 2 losses.

Brian: Slim pickings this week. Mostly sticking out west with Jeff taking all the good ACC games.

Texas A&M Aggies at Auburn Tigers (-23.5) - Pressure is on #3 Auburn to keep things rolling coming off an emotional, last minute victory over then #4 Ole Miss. A&M might catch Auburn napping ahead of the Tigers showdown with the Georgia Bulldogs next week, but I tend to doubt it. Far too much at stake here with SEC West title and College Football Playoff implications on the line. Without the services of QB Kenny Hill, this one could get ugly in a hurry. Hill actually played in a 59-0 loss at Alabama four weeks ago...and did not in a 21-16 victory over ULM.

Air Force Falcons (-4.5) at UNLV Rebels - Potential letdown game for the Falcons, coming off a CIC Trophy-clinching victory over Army. But Air Force has been the much better team this season. Sketchy line for a Rebels team that has one win over FBS competition this year--needing OT to do so--and one that ranks 125th nationally in rushing defense, giving up 267.89 yards per game. This week, Air Force ranks 12th in the nation in rushing offense, averaging 269.5 yards a game.

Hawaii Warriors at Colorado State Rams (-17) - Gonna keep riding Colorado State until they prove me wrong. The Rams are 8-1 on the year; winners of seven straight. The Rams need a win here to keep pace with Boise State in the Mountain West Mountain Division (and need Boise State to drop one more to win the division). Hawaii has lost three straight, 5 of 6 and has just one FBS win under its belt this season--a 38-28 home victory over Wyoming. Colorado State big.

Colorado Buffaloes (+17) at Arizona Wildcats - The Buffaloes have lost five straight and are now bowl ineligible at 2-7, but that's a bit misleading for a Colorado team that's been competitive in a number of Pac-12 games. The Buffs dropped a pair of double OT games at Cal and vs. #25 UCLA earlier in the year and played in one-score game at home against Oregon State. The only real game CU has been blown out this year was at USC back on October 18 (a 56-28 loss to the Trojans). In a matchup of two of the nation's top ranked passing attacks, I don't expect Colorado to win, but I do expect them to be able to keep pace with the Wildcats. Seems like way too many points to give to a CU team that's definitely heading in the right direction.

UCLA Bruins (-6) at Washington Huskies - After dropping consecutive home games in the Pac-12 to fall to 4-2 on the year, UCLA has bounced back nicely. The Bruins are winners of three straight, the latest a 17-7 home victory over #12 Arizona. The road team has covered in each of Washington's first two Pac-12 home games (Stanford and Arizona State). Look for a ranked Bruins team to make it 3-0 ATS with a big win over the Huskies.

Year Jeff Brian
2008 42-33 39-36
2009 36-34 40-30
2010 35-35 35-35
2011 37-33 31-39
2012 33-37 37-33
2013 40-35 36-39
08/03/14 1-4 3-2
09/06/14 4-1 2-3
09/13/14 1-4 2-3
09/20/14 2-3 2-3
09/27/14 0-5 2-3
10/04/14 5-0 2-3
10/11/14 4-1 2-3
10/18/14 3-2 1-4
10/25/14 2-3 1-4
11/01/14 4-1 3-2
2014 26-24 17-28
All-Time 249-231 238-242