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College Football Betting Picks, Week 11: USC-Cal, Florida State-Wake Forest, LSU-Alabama And More

Selections for week 11.

Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

Last week:

Jeff: 3-2, 26-24 overall ATS
Brian: 5-0, 21-29 overall

2013 Standings below: (All-Time Standings here)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Total
Jeff 2-3 3-2 2-3 1-4 3-2 4-1 4-1 0-5 4-1 3-2 26-24
Brian 1-4 1-4 2-3 3-2 1-4 3-2 1-4 2-3 2-3 5-0 21-29
ATL 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 8-2


Oregon Ducks at Stanford Cardinal (+10.5) -

Missouri Tigers (-13.5) at Kentucky Wildcats - After dominating Tennessee at home, 31-3, Mizzou travels to Kentucky to take on the 2-6 Wildcats. In a matchup of the nation's 16th ranked rushing offense vs. the 97th ranked rushing defense, I expect Missouri to win comfortably. Having already defeated both Florida and Georgia, the #8 ranked Tigers can move one step closer to locking up the SEC East title and a shot at Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi Rebels (-17) - After starting the Bret Bielema era off on a fast 3-0 start, the Razorbacks have now lost six straight. To Arkansas' credit, they have played five straight teams ranked in the top 18 in the country. Last week, Arkansas was a 35-17 loser at home to Auburn. This week, the program hits the road to take on an unranked Ole Miss Rebels team. Ole Miss has had an extra week to prepare for Arkansas. The Rebels are two weeks removed from a 59-14 drubbing of FBS independent Idaho and three weeks removed from a 27-24 upset victory over LSU. I like Ole Miss to more than cover in this one.

USC Trojans (-16.5) at California Golden Bears - Since firing Lane Kiffin, the Trojans have won three of four games, including wins over Utah (19-3) and at Oregon State (31-14) over the last two weeks. Cal is having a rough go of it in the first year of the Bear Raid having lost seven straight and eight of nine to start the season. The Golden Bears lone win on the year is a 37-30 win over FCS Portland State. The Trojans are playing for bowl eligibility -- needing a seventh win (with 13 regular season games) to qualify for the postseason -- and possibly more, keeping pace with Arizona State, Arizona and UCLA in the Pac-12 South race.

N.C. State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils (-9.5) - In one of the most surprising developments this season, Duke actually plays some defense. The Blue Devils rank 36th nationally in scoring defense, 71st in rushing defense, 35th in passing defense and 52nd in total defense. Those numbers aren't eye popping by any means, but they are decidedly un-Duke-like in every way possible. Cutcliffe has the Dukies playing well. On the other hand, N.C. State is struggling through Dave Doeren's first season in Raleigh. The Pack are pretty average across the board and have lost every single ACC game this season by at least one score (and more often, two or more). Expect that trend to continue as Duke marches closer and closer to Belk.


Oklahoma Sooners (+16) at Baylor Bears - As I tweeted earlier I have no respect for what Baylor had done so far this season because of their weak schedule.

Florida St. Seminoles (-35.5) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Will Wake Forest score in this game? Last week they were shutout by Syracuse so the chances of them scoring this week are not very good. Meanwhile, since FSU has been able to score on everyone this season, scoring on Wake will not be an issue for them either.

Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5) - I am buying UNC the rest of the season. They had a two QB system that was working for them and their record is mainly due to their strength of schedule early on. Now with Renner hurt, Marquise Williams is ready to take over for the Heels. Meanwhile, Virginia is not having much success this season and won't be participating in any of the 99 postseason bowl games.

Boston College Eagles (-24.5) at New Mexico St. Aggies - Boston College should run all over NMSU - literally! NMSU has no ability to stop the run against far less skilled competition they have faced so far this season and BC brings the nation's second leading rusher to town in Andre Williams. I also expect Rettig to have a good day since they will have to focus so much on stopping the run and their secondary will give our WRs plenty of opportunities to make plays.

LSU Tigers (+12.5) at Alabama Crimson Tide - Alabama is still the #1 team in the country but is not as dominant as they have been at times during their last two national title seasons. Alabama knew they had Texas A&M and LSU to worry about going into the season as they were both teams that beat them at home during the regular season when Alabama went on to win National Championships the last two years. So since the A&M game is behind them already, it must be LSU's turn to ruin Alabama's undefeated season.