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BC Women’s Hockey vs. UCONN, Hockey East Quarterfinals: Final Thoughts & Predictions

Trophy Season!

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PLAYOFFFFFFFFFFFFFS!

No more “figuring it out as you go.” No more ties. No more looking ahead. Every game is even more critical now than the last few weeks when they were already really critical. We’ve reached the official start of Trophy Season (or “TROPHY SZN,” as I’m told the kids say), and with exactly zero trophies in the bank so far, BC’s going to have to put it all together to keep from leaving the SZN empty handed.

Lots to talk about to get you prepped. Let’s dive right in.

WHO

UCONN Huskies (14-16-4, 9-14-4 WHEA)
at No. 6 Boston College Eagles (23-10-1, 19-7-1 WHEA)

WHAT

The Hockey East Quarterfinals — Best of 3

WHERE

Conte Forum
Chestnut Hill, MA

WHEN

Game 1: Friday, March 1st, 2019
2:00pm EST

Game 2: Saturday, March 2nd, 2019
2:00pm EST

Game 3 (if necessary): Sunday, March 3rd, 2019
7:30pm EST

HOW TO WATCH

Even though all of BC’s home games this year have had top-notch production quality on ESPN3, Hockey East decided it wants exactly zero casual fans to tune in by forcing everyone to pay for a $30/month subscription to FloHockey.tv to watch any the quarterfinals. The semifinals and finals will be on NESN, which is great, but makes the $30/month you have to pay for the quarterfinals even dumber.

This conference is run by complete idiots I swear to God.

PROJECTIONS

KRACH has the Eagles pretty strongly favored, with BC at a 77.08% chance of winning a one-game matchup with UConn (BC -336 on the money line). We can extrapolate on that to determine the odds of each quarterfinal possibility:

BC sweeps: 59.41%
BC in three: 27.24%
UConn in three: 8.10%
UConn sweeps: 5.25%

Those are pretty good odds.

GRaNT gives us a score projection of 3.42 to 1.58 in favor of the Eagles — something like a 3-1 or 4-2 final. BC dominated the regular seasons series without even allowing a goal to UConn, with final scores of 3-0, 3-0, and 4-0.

LAST TIME OUT

Boston College stumbled at the end of the regular season, blowing a 2-0 lead and needing a third period goal to salvage a 3-3 tie on the road against New Hampshire. The Eagles had been hot prior to that game though — even including the tie, BC is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games.

UConn has totally fallen apart at the end of the year, posting a 3-1 loss against #8 Boston University in their final regular season game — okay, fine — but finishing on a brutal 1-7-3 stretch overall. Some of those games were against really good teams (0-4-0 against #3 NU and #8 BU), but their only win came against decidedly not-really-good Vermont.

THIS WEEK’S STORYLINE

BC is still not safely into the NCAA tournament field, and if they manage to fall apart and not even make it to the Hockey East semifinals, this would almost certainly — barring some total miracles on the out-of-town scoreboard — be their last games of the season. A weekend sweep would at least put them in a position where even losing in the Hockey East semifinals would leave them with some reasonable paths to back into the tournament... but realistically, BC is going to need to win their next three games to get decently comfortable.

If the Eagles can’t take care of business — and, honestly, look good doing it — against UConn, they obviously won’t deserve to be in the field at all. BC really needs to take things a game at a time and just win.

BIG QUESTIONS

Will BC continue their red-hot play at home and improve on their 15-1-0 record at Conte Forum? Are BC’s goaltenders fresh and ready for the stretch run? Can the BC defense find its mojo and get its first shutout against someone other than Holy Cross since the last time they played UConn, back in November? Are those shiny gold medals blinding the BC defenders from the fact that they need to keep the other team from scoring in addition to their efforts starting the breakout? Will Jonathan, a VERY good boy, come up for the games? Can BC stop taking so many FKING PENALTIES???

RANDOM, POSSIBLY INCORRECT FACT FROM UCONN’S WIKIPEDIA PAGE

The UConn fight song, officially titled “UConn Husky” but commonly called “The Husky Fight Song”, is one of the most recognizable in the country

Yeah, I’m gonna have to slap a big ol’

on that.

ICE CREAM OF THE WEEK

We do ice cream of the week because hell yeah, ice cream.

UConn Dairy Bar — Husky Tracks

We’re not completely unfair here at the Bee Cee Interruptus. While UConn as a university might not be... what’s the best way to say this?... “any good,” they do have some redeeming qualities. Jonathan The Husky is an exceptionally good boy, for example. And UConn’s Dairy Bar is kickass. One of their most famous offerings, Husky Tracks (basically just Moose Tracks, which on its own belongs on the Mount Rushmore of ice cream), is amazing and worth a stop along the way up from Middle Of Nowhere, CT.

Since these games are at BC, it’s not exactly convenient to go get some of this dairy goodness. But, I don’t know, see if you can befriend someone from Storrs before the weekend and have them bring some up for you, I guess?

GAME TIME SONG OF THE WEEK

Queen — Another One Bites The Dust

How do you think I’m going to get along
Without you when you’re gone?
You took me for everything that I had
And kicked me out on my own

Are you happy, are you satisfied?
How long can you stand the heat?
Out of the doorway the bullets rip
To the sound of the beat

Did we go Queen for two consecutive weeks?? You bet we did!

Elimination time, baby birds. Eat or be eaten. If BC can knock out three teams in a row, that’s a trophy. Every team they knock out from here gets them closer to the ultimate prize.

It’s been an up and down season, and BC could reasonably do anything from crash out this weekend to win the whole thing. Let’s see what we’ve got.

PREDICTIONS

There aren’t many teams this season who BC has completely owned, but UConn is definitely one of them. The Eagles didn’t give up a single goal to the Huskies this year. Even Holy Cross managed to put one in against us.

That’ll end this weekend — BC’s defense would need to make some big strides to find a shutout with how they’re playing lately — but the Eagles are playing with some pressure and know they can’t afford to coast, because every weekend could be their last from here on out. What’s more, whatever is in their heads about playing at Conte Forum should presumably help them this week, with all three both games on home ice for the quarterfinals.

Let’s go with the BC sweep, but sans shutouts. BC will advance to the semifinals on the backs of a couple of very different games: a timid 3-1 affair with the defense trying a little too hard to keep contain on Friday before just saying “eff it” and playing the only way they seem to know how for a wacky 6-3 win on Saturday.