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BC Women’s Hockey vs. Holy Cross: Final Thoughts & Predictions

Hopefully we’ll have no stress against the league’s newest team

BC Athletics

Boston College Women’s Hockey is back in the NCAA tournament picture!

After falling outside the top ten during their big midseason swoon, the Eagles have ridden a nice little five game winning streak back into the seventh and final potential at-large spot for the national tournament. The highlight was last week’s strong showing against Providence, who had been sitting just outside the polls after a long stretch in the top ten.

The Eagles are finally playing some solid hockey, with just a one-off Friday night against Holy Cross standing between themselves and the first round of the Beanpot — the official kick off of TROPHY SEASON!

WHO

Holy Cross Crusaders (1-23-3, 1-19-1 WHEA) (Yikes)
at No. 7 Boston College Eagles (18-9-0, 15-7-0 WHEA)

WHAT

BC’s 19th win of the season. We’re not Northeastern.

WHERE

Conte Forum
Chestnut Hill, MA

WHEN

Friday, February 1st, 2019
6:00pm EST

HOW TO WATCH

Tonight’s game, like all BC men’s and women’s hockey home games, will be streamed live on ESPN3. Awesome.

PROJECTIONS

If this game is close, we should all probably worry.

KRACH has the Eagles heavily favored, with BC at a 96% chance of winning (BC -2458 on the money line — so you’d have to bet $2,458 on the Eagles to win $100).

GRaNT gives us a score projection of 4.54 to 0.69 in favor of the Eagles — something like a 5-1 or 4-0 final. That’s a pretty sizable gap; you almost never see it that big for this model.

LAST TIME OUT

Holy Cross’s growing pains on their first full-time D-I season continued last week with 3-1 and 4-1 losses to New Hampshire. The Crusaders’ only win this season continues to somehow be against Northeastern the highest ranked eastern team in the country.

Boston College is playing pretty well of late — certainly the offense is — and they’re coming off a pair of matching 4-2 wins against Providence. The Eagles have scored at least 4 goals in all 5 games of their current winning streak.

THIS WEEK’S STORYLINE

BC couldn’t have asked for a better team to play leading up to the Beanpot. Holy Cross is battling Union to be the worst team in the country (aside — how is Union ranked below Holy Cross in literally every ranking???), so even if BC is thinking about beans, they really shouldn’t do anything other than cruise to a win. The Eagles are looking to get in, get out, get the win, and get away without anyone getting hurt.

BIG QUESTIONS

BC’s offense is humming, but can the Eagles get the defense under control and give up fewer than 2 goals for the first time since December (a game that was actually a 1-0 loss)? Will Megan Keller continue building her Patty Kazmaier buzz? Speaking of buzzing and humming, is this the game where Daryl Watts breaks out and becomes the live wire we know she can be?

RANDOM, POSSIBLY INCORRECT FACT FROM HOLY CROSS’S WIKIPEDIA PAGE

The school opened in October 1843 [...] with six students aged 9 to 19. [...] Within three years, the enrollment had increased to 100 students. Initially the education was more at the elementary and high school level; later it became a higher level institution.

ICE CREAM OF THE WEEK

We do ice cream of the week because hell yeah, ice cream.

Apple Pie a la mode

More than just “ice cream,” sure, but lest anyone out there forget — all Holy Cross eats is apple sauce. The eat it morning, noon, and night, and they even eat it when they fight.

O Holy Cross, on bended knee, will, on Friday night, kiss the ass of old BC.

GAME TIME SONG OF THE WEEK

Hamilton — Your Obedient Servant

I will not equivocate on my opinion
I have always worn it on my sleeve
Even if I said
What you think I said
You would need to cite a more specific grievance
Here’s an itemized list of thirty years of disagreements

...Sweet Jesus

I imagine this is what the BC vs. Holy Cross message boards would have looked like 100 years ago.

PREDICTIONS

No stress. With apologies to the Crusaders, this is going to be an open practice. I’ll go with the GRaNT predicted score of 5-1, which feels about right. I would really like to see us finally post a shutout, though. The stretch of games giving up 2+ goals is starting to get a little alarming.