ACC Tournament Seeding Scenarios: March 6, 2013

With the Eagles' 68-61 win over Clemson last night, Boston College is a half-game up on both Wake Forest and Georgia Tech in the ACC standings at 6-11. If the season ended today, Boston College would be the no. 8 seed and facing Georgia Tech in the 8-9 game.

Here's how the tournament would look if the season ended today.

The seeds:

1. Miami Hurricanes (14-2)
2. Duke Blue Devils (13-4)
3. North Carolina Tar Heels (11-5)
4. Virginia Cavaliers (10-6)
5. N.C. State Wolfpack (10-6)
6. Maryland Terrapins (8-8)
7. Florida St. Seminoles (7-9)
8. Boston College Eagles (6-11)
9. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-11)
10. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-11)
11. Clemson Tigers (5-12)
12. Virginia Tech Hokies (4-13)

And the tournament bracket:

Thursday, March 14 - First Round

Game 1: #8 Boston College vs. #9 Georgia Tech, noon ESPNU/ACC Network
Game 2: #5 N.C. State vs. #12 Virginia Tech, 2 p.m. ESPNU/ACC Network
Game 3: #7 Florida State vs. #10 Wake Forest, 7 p.m. ESPNU/ACC Network
Game 4: #6 Maryland vs. #11 Clemson, 9 p.m. ESPNU/ACC Network

Friday, March 15 - Quarterfinals

Game 5: #1 Miami vs. Game 1 winner, noon ESPN2/ACC Network
Game 6: #4 Virginia vs. Game 2 winner, 2 p.m. ESPN2/ACC Network
Game 7: #2 Duke vs. Game 3 winner, 7 p.m. ESPN2/ACC Network
Game 8: #3 North Carolina vs. Game 4 winner, 9 p.m. ESPN2/ACC Network

NOTES:

-- Virginia owns the tiebreaker over N.C. State by virtue of the head-to-head victory over the Wolfpack. Virginia would earn the fourth and final first round bye while N.C. State would be the no. 5 seed.

-- Georgia Tech is 2-0 against Wake Forest this season, so the Jackets would earn the no. 9 seed, Wake Forest the no. 10.

Boston College can finish as high as the 8 seed and as low as the 10. The battle for the 8 seed will likely come down to this Saturday's Boston College home finale against Georgia Tech. Here are the different scenarios based on that game. If I missed any, please feel free to correct in the comments section.

If Boston College defeats Georgia Tech ...

-- The Eagles would be the no. 8 seed with a Wake Forest loss (at N.C. State or Virginia Tech)
-- The Eagles would be the no. 9 seed with a Florida State win (Virginia or N.C. State) and two Wake Forest wins. BC and Wake Forest would tie at 7-11 but Wake holds the tiebreaker over BC with the victory over Miami.
-- The Eagles would be the no. 10 seed with two Florida State losses and two Wake Forest wins. BC would lose both tiebreakers with a record of 1-2 against the tied teams. Florida State would be 2-1, earning the no. 8 seed. Wake Forest 2-2 and earning the no. 9 seed.

If Georgia Tech defeats Boston College ...

-- The Eagles would be the no. 9 seed with two Wake Forest losses
-- The Eagles would be the no. 9 seed with two Wake Forest wins and a Clemson win over Miami. BC, Georgia Tech and Clemson would be tied, with the Eagles earning the tiebreaker by virtue of their 2-1 record against the tied teams. Clemson (2-2) would be the no. 10 seed. Georgia Tech (1-2) the 11.
-- The Eagles would be the no. 10 seed with a Wake Forest win. BC loses the three-way tiebreaker with Georgia Tech and Wake Forest (GT 3-0, BC 1-2, WFU 1-2, with Wake claiming the better win vs. Miami).
-- The Eagles would also be the no. 10 seed with a Georgia Tech loss to Miami, one Wake Forest win and a Clemson win over Miami.

It's this last scenario that gets complicated. Boston College would be in a four-way tie with Clemson, Georgia Tech and Wake Forest for the eighth seed. BC, Clemson and Georgia Tech's combined record against the tied teams would be 3-2, while Wake's would be 1-4. Wake Forest becomes the no. 11 seed. The tiebreaker among BC, Clemson and Georgia Tech then moves to best victory over teams at the top of the standings. Clemson earns the 8 seed with the win over Miami.

With only BC and Georgia Tech remaining, the tiebreaker then goes back to the head-to-head record against the tied teams, which Georgia Tech takes with their victory over BC. The Jackets are the no. 9 seed and BC the no. 10 seed.

We should have a lot more clarity on the Eagles' ACC Tournament seed at this time tomorrow.