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ACC Baseball: Updated Postseason Race

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We eschew the final standings to explain how BC can make it. Win and you need help. Lose once and it's over.

Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

With one weekend remaining in the ACC's regular season, its baseball institutions will play one more weekend of games against one another to determine the 10 teams left standing to book travel to Durham.

As it stands right now, the division races are over. Louisville clinched the Atlantic Division room to spare last weekend, now holding a four game lead for the top overall seed over the Miami Hurricane. Miami, meanwhile, won the Coastal Division over North Carolina, who fell to a tie for sixth place heading into this weekend.

As for the rest of the conference, seeding will play a huge role this weekend. Florida State needs a single win or a single Notre Dame loss to assure themselves of the third seed, but the Irish come to Boston College more in search of a way to avoid slipping from the fourth seed. NC State is breathing down their neck, with Clemson and the Tar Heels still on their heels.

Further back, there's still a chance for more than a couple of teams to either reach for glory or have their hearts broken. After being swept by NC State, Wake Forest fell into the abyss, passed by the Virginia Cavaliers. That's a good sign for Boston College, since they now only sit a game and a half back of the Demon Deacons for 11th place.

The problem is that just passing Wake does nothing for the Eagles. Georgia Tech is in eighth place, holding a half of a game lead over ninth place Virginia Tech and the final playoff spot now held by the Cavaliers of Virginia.

Virginia didn't play the Eagles, but there's still a good outside chance for BC to pass them. Virginia plays UNC this weekend, and the 'Hoos are swept, it opens the door for the Eagles to pass them. BC is 9-17 in the league, 13.5 games back of first place. They can pass Virginia as long as they sweep Notre Dame and the 'Hoos are swept.

With Wake factoring into the mix, BC needs the Deacs to drop two of three. As it stands right now, the bottom of the league looks like this:

10) Virginia (12-15)
11) Wake Forest (11-16)

12) Boston College (9-17)

If Virginia is swept and Wake Forest loses two of three, an Eagle sweep would finish them at 12-17 in the league, a half of a game better than both the Cavs and the Deacs. If Wake Forest wins two, they would finish at least a half of a game better than the Eagles. Virginia just has to win one to eliminate BC and win two to eliminate Wake Forest.

Things are getting dicey, but Boston College has a shot to still get into 10th. Lose, and it's over. Win, and there's a chance. It's that simple.