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ACC Men's Basketball Tournament Bracket Projections: March 4, 2015

Where we stand heading into the final Saturday of the regular season.

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Duke, Notre Dame and Miami were all big winners on Wednesday night. Let's take a look at the ACC Tournament picture heading into the final Saturday of the regular season.

Standings. Here are the current standings:

Team W L GB PCT Possible Seed
Virginia Cavaliers 16 1 -- 0.941 1
Duke Blue Devils 14 3 2 0.824 2
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 13 4 3 0.765 3
North Carolina Tar Heels 11 6 5 0.647 4-5
Louisville Cardinals 11 6 5 0.647 4-5
Miami Hurricanes 9 8 7 0.529 6-7
North Carolina State Wolfpack 9 8 7 0.529 6-7
Syracuse Orange 9 8 7 0.529 N/A
Clemson Tigers 8 9 8 0.471 8-9
Pittsburgh Panthers 8 9 8 0.471 8-10
Florida State Seminoles 7 10 9 0.412 9-10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 5 12 11 0.294 11
Boston College Eagles 3 14 13 0.176 12
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 3 15 13.5 0.167 13-14
Virginia Tech Hokies 2 15 14 0.118 13-14

A few notes:

– Louisville and North Carolina are tied at 11-6. The regular season series is tied at a game apiece, so the tiebreaker then moves to the best win. Louisville's best win right now is vs. Miami. North Carolina also has a win over Miami as well as a wins over Syracuse and N.C. State. Therefore, right now, North Carolina would be the #4 seed and Louisville the #5.

– Syracuse, N.C. State and Miami are all tied at 9-8. Miami is 2-0 vs. the tied teams, while N.C. State is 0-1 (plays Syracuse on Saturday). Miami would currently be the 6 seed, North Carolina State the 7.

– Clemson and Pitt are tied at 8-9. Clemson owns the head-to-head over the Panthers with a 71-62 victory back on January 10. Clemson would be the 8 seed and Pitt the 9.

Seeds. After removing Syracuse from the equation, here are the tournament seeds if the season ended today:

1. Virginia
2. Duke
3. Notre Dame
4. North Carolina
5. Louisville
6. Miami
7. North Carolina State
8. Clemson
9. Pittsburgh
10. Florida State
11. Wake Forest
12. Boston College
13. Georgia Tech
14. Virginia Tech

Here's how the ACC Tournament would shake out if the season ended today:

First Round - Tuesday, March 10
(12) Boston College vs. (13) Georgia Tech -- 1 p.m., ESPN2 / ACC Network
(11) Wake Forest vs. (14) Virginia Tech -- 3 p.m., ESPN2 / ACC Network

Second Round - Wednesday, March 11
(8) Clemson vs. (9) Pittsburgh -- Noon, ESPN / ACC Network
(5) Louisville vs. (12) Boston College / (13) Georgia Tech winner -- 2 p.m., ESPN / ACC Network
(7) North Carolina State vs. (10) Florida State -- 7 p.m., ESPN / ACC Network
(6) Miami vs. (11) Wake Forest / (14) Virginia Tech winner -- 9 p.m., ESPN / ACC Network

Quarterfinals - Thursday, March 12
(1) Virginia vs. (8) Clemson / (9) Pittsburgh winner -- Noon, ESPN2 / ACC Network
(4) North Carolina vs. (5) Louisville / (12) Boston College / (13) Georgia Tech winner -- 2 p.m., ESPN 2 / ACC Network
(2) Duke vs. (7) North Carolina State / (10) Florida State -- 7 p.m., ESPN / ACC Network
(3) Notre Dame vs. (6) Miami / (11) Wake Forest / (14) Virginia Tech winner -- 9 p.m., ESPN / ACC Network

Here are the various seeding scenarios remaining:

– Louisville and North Carolina. Louisville will be the #4 seed with a win over Virginia. North Carolina will be the #4 seed with a win over Duke and a Louisville loss to Virginia. If the two teams remain tied at 11-7, the tiebreaker would then move to the best win. Louisville's best win right now is vs. Miami. North Carolina's best wins are Miami, Syracuse and N.C. State. Both of these teams can improve on this with wins in the finale, but as it stands right now, North Carolina would edge Louisville for the fourth and final double bye should both lose on Saturday.

– Miami and North Carolina State. Miami will be the #6 seed with a win over Virginia Tech. The Hurricanes would also end up as the #6 seed with a loss to Virginia Tech and a Syracuse win over N.C. State. If Miami loses to Virginia Tech and N.C. State beats Syracuse, the Hurricanes would fall to the #7 seed. N.C. State would be the #6 seed.

– Pitt, Clemson and Florida State. Pittsburgh will be the #8 seed with a win over Florida State and a Clemson loss to Notre Dame. If Clemson beats Notre Dame, Pitt falls to the #9 seed (and Clemson the #8). If both Pitt and Clemson both lose on Saturday, Florida State will earn the #8 seed, Clemson the #9 and Pitt the #10. Florida State will be the #9 seed with a win over Pitt and a Clemson loss to Notre Dame. Otherwise, Florida State will be the #10 seed.

– Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech. The Yellow Jackets will be the #13 seed with a Virginia Tech loss to Miami. Conversely, the Hokies will be the #13 seed with a win over Miami.