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The Book 2023: SP+ Has Football 6-6 For Upcoming Season

ESPN's Bill Connelly released his first iteration of SP+ yesterday after releasing his returning production stats about a week ago. For those of you with ESPN+ accounts, the full story can be found here: https://www.espn.com/college-football/insider/story/_/id/35651872/2023-college-football-rankings-every-team

Note that The Book "way too early" predictions should come out in the next week.

No surprise that Georgia is his current preseason #1, with Ohio State, Michigan and Alabama in line for CFP berths at second, third and fourth respectively. Penn State, Tennessee, LSU, Oregon, Texas and USC fill out the top 10.

In the ACC, Florida State has at least slightly supplanted Clemson as the preseason pick to rule the ACC. On a neutral field, the Noles are a 0.9 favorite over the Tigers.

Boston College is 72nd in the country and 13th out of 14 in the ACC, ahead of only Virginia. Based on using 2.5 points as a home advantage (which is what Connelly uses), the Eagles are projected to go 6-6 on the season, 2-6 in the ACC.

Here is how the season will play out:

Date Favorite Spread Underdog Overall
Record
ACC
Record
2-Sep at Boston College 16.3 Northern Illinois 1-0 0-0
9-Sep at Boston College NL Holy Cross 2-0 0-0
16-Sep #11 Florida State 21.6 at Boston College 2-1 0-1
23-Sep at Louisville 10.3 Boston College 2-2 0-2
30-Sep at Boston College 4.1 Virginia 3-2 1-2
7-Oct Boston College 3.3 at Army 4-2 1-2
21-Oct at Georgia Tech 3.3 Boston College 4-3 1-3
28-Oct at Boston College 18.3 Connecticut 5-3 1-3
3-Nov at Syracuse 9.1 Boston College 5-4 1-4
11-Nov at Boston College 1.4 Virginia Tech 6-4 2-4
16-Nov at Pittsburgh 15.1 Boston College 6-5 2-5
24-Nov Miami 8.6 at Boston College 6-6 2-6

For context at this point in the 2022 pre-season was 76th in the country (they finished 112th) and were projected to finish the season at 3-9 overall and 2-6 in the ACC, which is exactly where they wound up.

Favorite Line Underdog Overall ACC Score
at Boston College 2.8 Rutgers 0-1 0-0 21-22
at Virginia Tech 6.8 Boston College 0-2 0-1 10-27
at Boston College NL Maine 1-2 0-1 38-17
at Florida State 15.9 Boston College 1-3 0-2 14-44
at Boston College 10.2 Louisville 2-3 1-2 34-33
Clemson 18.5 at Boston College 2-4 1-3 3-31
at Wake Forest 9.9 Boston College 2-5 1-4 15-43
Boston College 18.1 at Connecticut 2-6 1-4 3-13
at Boston College 16.2 Duke 2-7 1-5 31-38
at North Carolina St 18.5 Boston College 3-7 2-5 21-20
at Notre Dame 22.5 Boston College 3-8 2-5 0-44
Syracuse 2.0 at Boston College 3-9 2-6 23-32