In the first of our series of college football win totals for 2022, we looked at the ACC. This morning, we look at the SEC, including two of the top three teams in the country in most pre-season ratings, Alabama and Georgia.
Using the same criteria we did for the ACC, our best bets would be: Georgia over 10.5 (ML -240), Ole Miss over 7.5 (ML -145) and Alabama over 10.5 (ML -300). Second tier would be: Arkansas under 7.5 (ML -150), and Texas A&M under 8.5 (ML +130).
Later today...the Big 10
SEC Win Totals - 2022 | ||||
Team | Book Win Total |
Vegas Win Total |
Win Difference |
|
Alabama | 11.12 | 10.5 | 0.62 | |
Arkansas | 7.01 | 7.5 | (0.49) | |
Auburn | 6.71 | 6.5 | 0.21 | |
Florida | 6.99 | 7.0 | (0.01) | |
Georgia | 11.42 | 10.5 | 0.92 | |
Kentucky | 8.28 | 8.0 | 0.28 | |
LSU | 7.19 | 7.0 | 0.19 | |
Mississippi | 8.14 | 7.5 | 0.64 | |
Mississippi St | 6.50 | 6.5 | (0.00) | |
Missouri | 5.61 | 5.5 | 0.11 | |
South Carolina | 5.92 | 6.0 | (0.08) | |
Tennessee | 7.79 | 7.5 | 0.29 | |
Texas A&M | 8.06 | 8.5 | (0.44) | |
Vanderbilt | 2.25 | 2.5 | (0.25) | |
H/A | Alabama | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Utah St | Alabama | (35.80) | 1.0000 |
A | Alabama | Texas | 13.30 | 0.8303 |
H | LA Monroe | Alabama | (51.10) | 1.0000 |
H | Vanderbilt | Alabama | (42.20) | 1.0000 |
A | Alabama | Arkansas | 14.30 | 0.8514 |
H | Texas A&M | Alabama | (16.40) | 0.8855 |
A | Alabama | Tennessee | 14.80 | 0.8677 |
H | Mississippi St | Alabama | (21.20) | 1.0000 |
A | Alabama | LSU | 14.00 | 0.8514 |
A | Alabama | Mississippi | 13.60 | 0.8350 |
H | Austin Peay | Alabama | (54.53) | 1.0000 |
H | Auburn | Alabama | (20.40) | 1.0000 |
Win Total | 11.12 | |||
H/A | Arkansas | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Cincinnati | Arkansas | (3.90) | 0.5336 |
H | South Carolina | Arkansas | (8.70) | 0.7464 |
H | Missouri St | Arkansas | (23.62) | 1.0000 |
N | Arkansas | Texas A&M | (3.60) | 0.3937 |
H | Alabama | Arkansas | 14.30 | 0.1486 |
A | Arkansas | Mississippi St | (1.60) | 0.4752 |
A | Arkansas | BYU | 1.00 | 0.5124 |
A | Arkansas | Auburn | (2.40) | 0.4664 |
H | Liberty | Arkansas | (19.20) | 0.9730 |
H | LSU | Arkansas | (2.30) | 0.5336 |
H | Mississippi | Arkansas | (1.90) | 0.5248 |
A | Arkansas | Missouri | 7.00 | 0.7034 |
Win Total | 7.01 | |||
H/A | Auburn | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Mercer | Auburn | (32.47) | 1.0000 |
H | San Jose St | Auburn | (23.90) | 1.0000 |
H | Penn St | Auburn | (1.50) | 0.5248 |
H | Missouri | Auburn | (12.20) | 0.8159 |
H | LSU | Auburn | (2.10) | 0.5336 |
A | Auburn | Georgia | (18.50) | 0.0381 |
A | Auburn | Mississippi | (3.90) | 0.3937 |
H | Arkansas | Auburn | (2.40) | 0.5336 |
A | Auburn | Mississippi St | (2.20) | 0.4664 |
H | Texas A&M | Auburn | 1.00 | 0.4876 |
H | Western Kentucky | Auburn | (17.20) | 0.9138 |
A | Auburn | Alabama | (20.40) | 0.0000 |
Win Total | 6.71 | |||
H/A | Florida | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Utah | Florida | 2.00 | 0.4664 |
H | Kentucky | Florida | (0.20) | 0.5000 |
H | South Florida | Florida | (18.80) | 0.9619 |
A | Florida | Tennessee | (4.60) | 0.3686 |
H | Eastern Washington | Florida | (27.73) | 1.0000 |
H | Missouri | Florida | (10.10) | 0.7736 |
H | LSU | Florida | 0.00 | 0.5000 |
N | Georgia | Florida | 18.10 | 0.0505 |
A | Florida | Texas A&M | (8.80) | 0.2536 |
H | South Carolina | Florida | (6.40) | 0.6642 |
A | Florida | Vanderbilt | 18.20 | 0.9495 |
A | Florida | Florida St | (0.40) | 0.5000 |
Win Total | 6.99 | |||
H/A | Georgia | Spread | Win Probability | |
N | Oregon | Georgia | (17.40) | 0.9138 |
H | Samford | Georgia | (49.94) | 1.0000 |
A | Georgia | South Carolina | 20.00 | 1.0000 |
H | Kent St | Georgia | (40.60) | 1.0000 |
A | Georgia | Missouri | 23.10 | 1.0000 |
H | Auburn | Georgia | (18.50) | 0.9619 |
H | Vanderbilt | Georgia | (40.30) | 1.0000 |
N | Florida | Georgia | (18.10) | 0.9495 |
H | Tennessee | Georgia | (17.10) | 0.9138 |
A | Georgia | Mississippi St | 14.40 | 0.8514 |
A | Georgia | Kentucky | 13.40 | 0.8303 |
H | Georgia Tech | Georgia | (33.70) | 1.0000 |
Win Total | 11.42 | |||
H/A | Kentucky | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Miami OH | Kentucky | (20.00) | 1.0000 |
A | Kentucky | Florida | (0.20) | 0.5000 |
H | Youngstown St | Kentucky | (30.09) | 1.0000 |
H | Northern Illinois | Kentucky | (19.20) | 0.9730 |
A | Kentucky | Mississippi | (3.20) | 0.4256 |
H | South Carolina | Kentucky | (8.70) | 0.7464 |
H | Mississippi St | Kentucky | (4.10) | 0.6189 |
A | Kentucky | Tennessee | (2.00) | 0.4664 |
A | Kentucky | Missouri | 7.10 | 0.7034 |
H | Vanderbilt | Kentucky | (25.00) | 1.0000 |
H | Georgia | Kentucky | 13.40 | 0.1697 |
H | Louisville | Kentucky | (6.90) | 0.6771 |
Win Total | 8.28 | |||
H/A | LSU | Spread | Win Probability | |
N | Florida St | LSU | (7.10) | 0.7034 |
H | Southern | LSU | (44.63) | 1.0000 |
H | Mississippi St | LSU | (4.30) | 0.6189 |
H | New Mexico | LSU | (32.90) | 1.0000 |
A | LSU | Auburn | (2.10) | 0.4664 |
H | Tennessee | LSU | (2.10) | 0.5336 |
A | LSU | Florida | 0.00 | 0.5000 |
H | Mississippi | LSU | (2.20) | 0.5336 |
H | Alabama | LSU | 14.00 | 0.1486 |
A | LSU | Arkansas | (2.30) | 0.4664 |
H | UAB | LSU | (16.40) | 0.8855 |
A | LSU | Texas A&M | (6.00) | 0.3358 |
Win Total | 7.19 | |||
H/A | Mississippi | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Troy | Mississippi | (21.70) | 1.0000 |
H | Central Arkansas | Mississippi | (31.94) | 1.0000 |
A | Mississippi | Georgia Tech | 14.70 | 0.8677 |
H | Tulsa | Mississippi | (20.00) | 1.0000 |
H | Kentucky | Mississippi | (3.20) | 0.5744 |
A | Mississippi | Vanderbilt | 21.40 | 1.0000 |
H | Auburn | Mississippi | (3.90) | 0.6063 |
A | Mississippi | LSU | (2.20) | 0.4664 |
A | Mississippi | Texas A&M | (5.60) | 0.3487 |
H | Alabama | Mississippi | 13.60 | 0.1650 |
A | Mississippi | Arkansas | (1.90) | 0.4752 |
H | Mississippi St | Mississippi | (4.70) | 0.6314 |
Win Total | 8.14 | |||
H/A | Mississippi St | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Memphis | Mississippi St | (13.90) | 0.8350 |
A | Mississippi St | Arizona | 14.40 | 0.8514 |
A | Mississippi St | LSU | (4.30) | 0.3811 |
H | Bowling Green | Mississippi St | (29.00) | 1.0000 |
H | Texas A&M | Mississippi St | 1.80 | 0.4752 |
H | Arkansas | Mississippi St | (1.60) | 0.5248 |
A | Mississippi St | Kentucky | (4.10) | 0.3811 |
A | Mississippi St | Alabama | (21.20) | 0.0000 |
H | Auburn | Mississippi St | (2.20) | 0.5336 |
H | Georgia | Mississippi St | 14.40 | 0.1486 |
H | East Tennessee St | Mississippi St | (31.81) | 1.0000 |
A | Mississippi St | Mississippi | (4.70) | 0.3686 |
Win Total | 6.50 | |||
H/A | Missouri | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Louisiana Tech | Missouri | (17.90) | 0.9371 |
A | Missouri | Kansas St | (9.00) | 0.2495 |
H | Abilene Christian | Missouri | (28.13) | 1.0000 |
A | Missouri | Auburn | (12.20) | 0.1841 |
H | Georgia | Missouri | 23.10 | 0.0000 |
A | Missouri | Florida | (10.10) | 0.2264 |
H | Vanderbilt | Missouri | (15.40) | 0.8741 |
A | Missouri | South Carolina | (5.90) | 0.3487 |
H | Kentucky | Missouri | 7.10 | 0.2966 |
A | Missouri | Tennessee | (11.90) | 0.1939 |
H | New Mexico St | Missouri | (29.60) | 1.0000 |
H | Arkansas | Missouri | 7.00 | 0.2966 |
Win Total | 5.61 | |||
H/A | South Carolina | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Georgia St | South Carolina | (11.70) | 0.8061 |
A | South Carolina | Arkansas | (8.70) | 0.2536 |
H | Georgia | South Carolina | 20.00 | 0.0000 |
H | Charlotte | South Carolina | (22.40) | 1.0000 |
H | South Carolina St | South Carolina | (38.84) | 1.0000 |
A | South Carolina | Kentucky | (8.70) | 0.2536 |
H | Texas A&M | South Carolina | 7.30 | 0.2966 |
H | Missouri | South Carolina | (5.90) | 0.6513 |
A | South Carolina | Vanderbilt | 14.60 | 0.8677 |
A | South Carolina | Florida | (6.40) | 0.3358 |
H | Tennessee | South Carolina | 4.70 | 0.3686 |
A | South Carolina | Clemson | (17.10) | 0.0862 |
Win Total | 5.92 | |||
H/A | Tennessee | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Ball St | Tennessee | (25.20) | 1.0000 |
A | Tennessee | Pittsburgh | (0.70) | 0.5000 |
H | Akron | Tennessee | (34.60) | 1.0000 |
H | Florida | Tennessee | (4.60) | 0.6314 |
A | Tennessee | LSU | (2.10) | 0.4664 |
H | Alabama | Tennessee | 14.80 | 0.1323 |
H | UT Martin | Tennessee | (35.03) | 1.0000 |
H | Kentucky | Tennessee | (2.00) | 0.5336 |
A | Tennessee | Georgia | (17.10) | 0.0862 |
H | Missouri | Tennessee | (11.90) | 0.8061 |
A | Tennessee | South Carolina | 4.70 | 0.6314 |
A | Tennessee | Vanderbilt | 21.50 | 1.0000 |
Win Total | 7.79 | |||
H/A | Texas A&M | Spread | Win Probability | |
H | Sam Houston St | Texas A&M | (32.70) | 1.0000 |
H | Appalachian St | Texas A&M | (16.30) | 0.8855 |
H | Miami FL | Texas A&M | (5.80) | 0.6513 |
N | Arkansas | Texas A&M | (3.60) | 0.6063 |
A | Texas A&M | Mississippi St | 1.80 | 0.5248 |
A | Texas A&M | Alabama | (16.40) | 0.1145 |
A | Texas A&M | South Carolina | 7.30 | 0.7034 |
H | Mississippi | Texas A&M | (5.60) | 0.6513 |
H | Florida | Texas A&M | (8.80) | 0.7464 |
A | Texas A&M | Auburn | 1.00 | 0.5124 |
H | Massachusetts | Texas A&M | (44.50) | 1.0000 |
H | LSU | Texas A&M | (6.00) | 0.6642 |
Win Total | 8.06 | |||
H/A | Vanderbilt | Spread | Win Probability | |
A | Vanderbilt | Hawaii | 2.80 | 0.5425 |
H | Elon | Vanderbilt | (23.30) | 1.0000 |
H | Wake Forest | Vanderbilt | 15.20 | 0.1259 |
A | Vanderbilt | Northern Illinois | (7.90) | 0.2702 |
A | Vanderbilt | Alabama | (42.20) | 0.0000 |
H | Mississippi | Vanderbilt | 21.40 | 0.0000 |
A | Vanderbilt | Georgia | (40.30) | 0.0000 |
A | Vanderbilt | Missouri | (15.40) | 0.1259 |
H | South Carolina | Vanderbilt | 14.60 | 0.1323 |
A | Vanderbilt | Kentucky | (25.00) | 0.0000 |
H | Florida | Vanderbilt | 18.20 | 0.0505 |
H | Tennessee | Vanderbilt | 21.50 | 0.0000 |
Win Total | 2.25 |
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