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The Book 2022: SEC Season Win Totals


In the first of our series of college football win totals for 2022, we looked at the ACC. This morning, we look at the SEC, including two of the top three teams in the country in most pre-season ratings, Alabama and Georgia.

Using the same criteria we did for the ACC, our best bets would be: Georgia over 10.5 (ML -240), Ole Miss over 7.5 (ML -145) and Alabama over 10.5 (ML -300). Second tier would be: Arkansas under 7.5 (ML -150), and Texas A&M under 8.5 (ML +130).

Later today...the Big 10

SEC Win Totals - 2022
Team Book
Win Total
Vegas
Win Total
Win
Difference
Alabama 11.12 10.5 0.62
Arkansas 7.01 7.5 (0.49)
Auburn 6.71 6.5 0.21
Florida 6.99 7.0 (0.01)
Georgia 11.42 10.5 0.92
Kentucky 8.28 8.0 0.28
LSU 7.19 7.0 0.19
Mississippi 8.14 7.5 0.64
Mississippi St 6.50 6.5 (0.00)
Missouri 5.61 5.5 0.11
South Carolina 5.92 6.0 (0.08)
Tennessee 7.79 7.5 0.29
Texas A&M 8.06 8.5 (0.44)
Vanderbilt 2.25 2.5 (0.25)
H/A Alabama Spread Win Probability
H Utah St Alabama (35.80) 1.0000
A Alabama Texas 13.30 0.8303
H LA Monroe Alabama (51.10) 1.0000
H Vanderbilt Alabama (42.20) 1.0000
A Alabama Arkansas 14.30 0.8514
H Texas A&M Alabama (16.40) 0.8855
A Alabama Tennessee 14.80 0.8677
H Mississippi St Alabama (21.20) 1.0000
A Alabama LSU 14.00 0.8514
A Alabama Mississippi 13.60 0.8350
H Austin Peay Alabama (54.53) 1.0000
H Auburn Alabama (20.40) 1.0000
Win Total 11.12
H/A Arkansas Spread Win Probability
H Cincinnati Arkansas (3.90) 0.5336
H South Carolina Arkansas (8.70) 0.7464
H Missouri St Arkansas (23.62) 1.0000
N Arkansas Texas A&M (3.60) 0.3937
H Alabama Arkansas 14.30 0.1486
A Arkansas Mississippi St (1.60) 0.4752
A Arkansas BYU 1.00 0.5124
A Arkansas Auburn (2.40) 0.4664
H Liberty Arkansas (19.20) 0.9730
H LSU Arkansas (2.30) 0.5336
H Mississippi Arkansas (1.90) 0.5248
A Arkansas Missouri 7.00 0.7034
Win Total 7.01
H/A Auburn Spread Win Probability
H Mercer Auburn (32.47) 1.0000
H San Jose St Auburn (23.90) 1.0000
H Penn St Auburn (1.50) 0.5248
H Missouri Auburn (12.20) 0.8159
H LSU Auburn (2.10) 0.5336
A Auburn Georgia (18.50) 0.0381
A Auburn Mississippi (3.90) 0.3937
H Arkansas Auburn (2.40) 0.5336
A Auburn Mississippi St (2.20) 0.4664
H Texas A&M Auburn 1.00 0.4876
H Western Kentucky Auburn (17.20) 0.9138
A Auburn Alabama (20.40) 0.0000
Win Total 6.71
H/A Florida Spread Win Probability
H Utah Florida 2.00 0.4664
H Kentucky Florida (0.20) 0.5000
H South Florida Florida (18.80) 0.9619
A Florida Tennessee (4.60) 0.3686
H Eastern Washington Florida (27.73) 1.0000
H Missouri Florida (10.10) 0.7736
H LSU Florida 0.00 0.5000
N Georgia Florida 18.10 0.0505
A Florida Texas A&M (8.80) 0.2536
H South Carolina Florida (6.40) 0.6642
A Florida Vanderbilt 18.20 0.9495
A Florida Florida St (0.40) 0.5000
Win Total 6.99
H/A Georgia Spread Win Probability
N Oregon Georgia (17.40) 0.9138
H Samford Georgia (49.94) 1.0000
A Georgia South Carolina 20.00 1.0000
H Kent St Georgia (40.60) 1.0000
A Georgia Missouri 23.10 1.0000
H Auburn Georgia (18.50) 0.9619
H Vanderbilt Georgia (40.30) 1.0000
N Florida Georgia (18.10) 0.9495
H Tennessee Georgia (17.10) 0.9138
A Georgia Mississippi St 14.40 0.8514
A Georgia Kentucky 13.40 0.8303
H Georgia Tech Georgia (33.70) 1.0000
Win Total 11.42
H/A Kentucky Spread Win Probability
H Miami OH Kentucky (20.00) 1.0000
A Kentucky Florida (0.20) 0.5000
H Youngstown St Kentucky (30.09) 1.0000
H Northern Illinois Kentucky (19.20) 0.9730
A Kentucky Mississippi (3.20) 0.4256
H South Carolina Kentucky (8.70) 0.7464
H Mississippi St Kentucky (4.10) 0.6189
A Kentucky Tennessee (2.00) 0.4664
A Kentucky Missouri 7.10 0.7034
H Vanderbilt Kentucky (25.00) 1.0000
H Georgia Kentucky 13.40 0.1697
H Louisville Kentucky (6.90) 0.6771
Win Total 8.28
H/A LSU Spread Win Probability
N Florida St LSU (7.10) 0.7034
H Southern LSU (44.63) 1.0000
H Mississippi St LSU (4.30) 0.6189
H New Mexico LSU (32.90) 1.0000
A LSU Auburn (2.10) 0.4664
H Tennessee LSU (2.10) 0.5336
A LSU Florida 0.00 0.5000
H Mississippi LSU (2.20) 0.5336
H Alabama LSU 14.00 0.1486
A LSU Arkansas (2.30) 0.4664
H UAB LSU (16.40) 0.8855
A LSU Texas A&M (6.00) 0.3358
Win Total 7.19
H/A Mississippi Spread Win Probability
H Troy Mississippi (21.70) 1.0000
H Central Arkansas Mississippi (31.94) 1.0000
A Mississippi Georgia Tech 14.70 0.8677
H Tulsa Mississippi (20.00) 1.0000
H Kentucky Mississippi (3.20) 0.5744
A Mississippi Vanderbilt 21.40 1.0000
H Auburn Mississippi (3.90) 0.6063
A Mississippi LSU (2.20) 0.4664
A Mississippi Texas A&M (5.60) 0.3487
H Alabama Mississippi 13.60 0.1650
A Mississippi Arkansas (1.90) 0.4752
H Mississippi St Mississippi (4.70) 0.6314
Win Total 8.14
H/A Mississippi St Spread Win Probability
H Memphis Mississippi St (13.90) 0.8350
A Mississippi St Arizona 14.40 0.8514
A Mississippi St LSU (4.30) 0.3811
H Bowling Green Mississippi St (29.00) 1.0000
H Texas A&M Mississippi St 1.80 0.4752
H Arkansas Mississippi St (1.60) 0.5248
A Mississippi St Kentucky (4.10) 0.3811
A Mississippi St Alabama (21.20) 0.0000
H Auburn Mississippi St (2.20) 0.5336
H Georgia Mississippi St 14.40 0.1486
H East Tennessee St Mississippi St (31.81) 1.0000
A Mississippi St Mississippi (4.70) 0.3686
Win Total 6.50
H/A Missouri Spread Win Probability
H Louisiana Tech Missouri (17.90) 0.9371
A Missouri Kansas St (9.00) 0.2495
H Abilene Christian Missouri (28.13) 1.0000
A Missouri Auburn (12.20) 0.1841
H Georgia Missouri 23.10 0.0000
A Missouri Florida (10.10) 0.2264
H Vanderbilt Missouri (15.40) 0.8741
A Missouri South Carolina (5.90) 0.3487
H Kentucky Missouri 7.10 0.2966
A Missouri Tennessee (11.90) 0.1939
H New Mexico St Missouri (29.60) 1.0000
H Arkansas Missouri 7.00 0.2966
Win Total 5.61
H/A South Carolina Spread Win Probability
H Georgia St South Carolina (11.70) 0.8061
A South Carolina Arkansas (8.70) 0.2536
H Georgia South Carolina 20.00 0.0000
H Charlotte South Carolina (22.40) 1.0000
H South Carolina St South Carolina (38.84) 1.0000
A South Carolina Kentucky (8.70) 0.2536
H Texas A&M South Carolina 7.30 0.2966
H Missouri South Carolina (5.90) 0.6513
A South Carolina Vanderbilt 14.60 0.8677
A South Carolina Florida (6.40) 0.3358
H Tennessee South Carolina 4.70 0.3686
A South Carolina Clemson (17.10) 0.0862
Win Total 5.92
H/A Tennessee Spread Win Probability
H Ball St Tennessee (25.20) 1.0000
A Tennessee Pittsburgh (0.70) 0.5000
H Akron Tennessee (34.60) 1.0000
H Florida Tennessee (4.60) 0.6314
A Tennessee LSU (2.10) 0.4664
H Alabama Tennessee 14.80 0.1323
H UT Martin Tennessee (35.03) 1.0000
H Kentucky Tennessee (2.00) 0.5336
A Tennessee Georgia (17.10) 0.0862
H Missouri Tennessee (11.90) 0.8061
A Tennessee South Carolina 4.70 0.6314
A Tennessee Vanderbilt 21.50 1.0000
Win Total 7.79
H/A Texas A&M Spread Win Probability
H Sam Houston St Texas A&M (32.70) 1.0000
H Appalachian St Texas A&M (16.30) 0.8855
H Miami FL Texas A&M (5.80) 0.6513
N Arkansas Texas A&M (3.60) 0.6063
A Texas A&M Mississippi St 1.80 0.5248
A Texas A&M Alabama (16.40) 0.1145
A Texas A&M South Carolina 7.30 0.7034
H Mississippi Texas A&M (5.60) 0.6513
H Florida Texas A&M (8.80) 0.7464
A Texas A&M Auburn 1.00 0.5124
H Massachusetts Texas A&M (44.50) 1.0000
H LSU Texas A&M (6.00) 0.6642
Win Total 8.06
H/A Vanderbilt Spread Win Probability
A Vanderbilt Hawaii 2.80 0.5425
H Elon Vanderbilt (23.30) 1.0000
H Wake Forest Vanderbilt 15.20 0.1259
A Vanderbilt Northern Illinois (7.90) 0.2702
A Vanderbilt Alabama (42.20) 0.0000
H Mississippi Vanderbilt 21.40 0.0000
A Vanderbilt Georgia (40.30) 0.0000
A Vanderbilt Missouri (15.40) 0.1259
H South Carolina Vanderbilt 14.60 0.1323
A Vanderbilt Kentucky (25.00) 0.0000
H Florida Vanderbilt 18.20 0.0505
H Tennessee Vanderbilt 21.50 0.0000
Win Total 2.25