FanPost

The Book 2022: Week 13 - November 26

Every year, I head into Alumni Stadium in shorts, knowing that in three short months, it will be cold and the season will be over. We've reached that point in the 2022 season and with it, another cold hard reality, that the Eagles will not be going bowling this season.

Unlike the turkey, cranberry sauce and stuffing sandwich I will enjoy on Friday afternoon watching as much football as I cram in, the feeling will leave my empty.

BOSTON COLLEGE

Notre Dame's boatracing of BC last Saturday in South Bend dropped the Eagles back to the bottom of the ACC and down four spots nationally to #108 in the country. The Eagles are now ahead of only Northwestern (114) and Colorado (125) among Power Five teams.

BC is down 39 spots from their preseason power rating prediction of 60, which puts them currently as the fifth most underachieving program in the country, ahead of just Texas A&M, Nevada, Miami FL and Colorado.

BC is an 8.4 point underdog vs Syracuse this week with a 32.7% chance to win the game and get to four wins on the season.

NATIONALLY

Our Top 12 teams mirror the CFP rankings, if not in the same order. While our top four are a match, it varies after that, with Alabama and Tennessee in the 5th and 6th spots, in place of LSU and USC.

USC is certainly in a great position to bolster its standing this week hosting surging Notre Dame.

Of note, only Penn State fails to hold a win over a current Book Top 25 team, while Tennessee is the only team to have a loss vs a non Top 25 team (South Carolina). Georgia, Ohio State, LSU and Alabama all hold the most top 25 wins with three each.

CFP
Rank
Book
Rank
Team Won Lost Power SOR SOS BOOK TOP 25 WINS BOOK LOSSES
1 1 GEORGIA 11 0 1 1 16 12 Oregon, 6 Tennessee, @23 Mississippi St None
2 2 OHIO ST 11 0 2 2 40 14 Notre Dame, @7 Penn St, 22 Iowa None
3 3 MICHIGAN 11 0 5 4 57 7 Penn St, @22 Iowa None
4 4 TCU 11 0 15 3 32 12 Kansas St, @16 Texas None
5 9 LSU 9 2 7 10 14 23 Mississippi St, 19 Mississippi, 5 Alabama 15 Florida St, 6 Tennessee
6 10 USC 10 1 16 6 56 @18 Oregon St, @25 UCLA @13 Utah
7 5 ALABAMA 9 2 3 8 19 @16 Texas, 23 Mississippi St, @19 Mississippi @6 Tennessee, @9 LSU
8 8 CLEMSON 10 1 9 5 49 @ 15 Florida St @14 Notre Dame
9 11 OREGON 9 2 14 11 45 25 UCLA, 13 Utah 1 Georgia, 17 Washington
10 6 TENNESSEE 9 2 4 9 24 @9 LSU, 5 Alabama @1 Georgia, @ South Carolina
11 7 PENN ST 9 2 6 7 25 None @3 Michigan, 2 Ohio St
12 12 KANSAS ST 8 3 12 18 7 16 Texas @4 TCU

PICK YOUR OWN SPREADS

If you are interested in creating your own matchups and seeing what those spreads would be, that can be done using our ratings at this link.

The Book FBS Power Ratings

THE BOOK VS THE WORLD

The Book continues to climb vs other computer systems, now up to #10 out of 55 in overall rankings. Still struggling vs the midweek Vegas point spread at #49, but in the top 10 of all the other rankings, including Mean Square Error at #6 and #4 among non Vegas point spread systems. That MSE is considered the best indicator of overall accuracy.

Rank System Pct.
Correct
Against
Spread
Absolute
Error
Bias Mean
Square
Error
games suw sul atsw atsl Pct
Rank
Spread
Rank
Abs Error
Rank
Bias
Rank
MSE
Rank
Total
1 Line (opening) 0.7147 0.5148 12.0319 0.5266 230.712 659 471 188 279 263 6 7 1 26 2 42
2 Massey Ratings 0.7102 0.5337 12.4830 (0.2252) 246.350 659 468 191 348 304 9 3 12 10 11 45
3 Line (updated) 0.7253 0.4949 12.0417 0.4514 229.848 659 478 181 144 147 1 23 2 23 1 50
4 Donchess Inference 0.7102 0.5172 12.4870 0.2748 248.421 659 468 191 331 309 9 5 13 12 15 54
5 System Median 0.6980 0.5031 12.3989 0.2921 243.115 659 460 199 323 319 20 16 8 13 8 65
6 David Harville 0.7011 0.5085 12.5497 (0.1782) 249.983 659 462 197 331 320 17 10 17 6 18 68
7 ESPN FPI 0.7086 0.5054 12.2886 0.8395 239.245 652 462 190 326 319 13 14 5 37 5 74
8 Sagarin Ratings 0.7162 0.4977 12.5332 (0.3910) 247.265 659 472 187 325 328 5 21 16 19 14 75
9 TeamRankings.com 0.7087 0.4730 12.4352 0.0310 245.759 659 467 192 306 341 12 41 9 3 10 75
10 The Book 0.7134 0.4649 12.3742 0.2252 242.112 659 468 188 298 343 7 49 6 9 6 77
11 Computer Adjusted Line 0.7238 0.4648 12.0736 0.4302 230.776 659 477 182 178 205 2 50 3 21 3 79
12 Dokter Entropy 0.7132 0.4916 12.2393 0.8754 236.656 659 470 189 320 331 8 25 4 40 4 81
13 Sagarin Golden Mean 0.6889 0.5176 12.5211 (0.2922) 248.760 659 454 205 338 315 34 4 15 14 16 83
14 Pi-Ratings Mean 0.7178 0.4814 12.3832 0.7958 242.468 659 473 186 310 334 3 37 7 36 7 90
15 System Average 0.6935 0.4923 12.4895 0.3185 245.699 659 457 202 321 331 28 24 14 15 9 90
16 Sagarin Points 0.6995 0.4962 12.6145 (0.3648) 250.448 659 461 198 323 328 19 22 18 17 19 95
17 Pi-Rate Ratings 0.7178 0.4869 12.4447 0.9495 246.746 659 473 186 315 332 3 31 10 42 12 98
18 Payne Power Ratings 0.6965 0.5008 12.9241 (0.0197) 265.022 659 459 200 327 326 22 19 27 2 28 98
19 Laz Index 0.6941 0.5092 12.9704 0.2203 263.108 657 456 201 331 319 26 9 29 8 27 99
20 Talisman Red 0.6950 0.5069 13.0789 0.0182 272.725 659 458 201 331 322 24 13 33 1 31 102
21 PI-Rate Bias 0.7102 0.4846 12.4639 0.9499 247.191 659 468 191 315 335 9 32 11 43 13 108
22 Sagarin Recent 0.7011 0.4678 12.7760 (0.2570) 257.541 659 462 197 305 347 17 45 23 11 22 118
23 Pigskin Index 0.7041 0.4807 12.6282 0.8713 252.353 659 464 195 299 323 14 38 19 39 20 130
24 Edward Kambour 0.6880 0.4823 12.6977 0.3798 256.326 657 452 205 314 337 35 35 21 18 21 130
25 Waywardtrends 0.6859 0.5023 12.8773 0.5742 262.699 659 452 207 328 325 37 17 26 29 26 135
26 Bihl System 0.6687 0.4895 12.9285 0.0792 269.377 335 224 111 163 170 50 28 28 4 30 140
27 Brent Craig 0.7025 0.4505 12.6282 0.9103 249.754 652 458 194 291 355 16 53 19 41 17 146
28 Versus Sports Simulator 0.7027 0.4615 12.8429 0.5770 261.525 656 461 195 300 350 15 52 25 30 25 147
29 Roundtable 0.6859 0.5082 13.0915 0.4751 282.379 503 345 158 248 240 38 11 34 25 42 150
30 Stat Fox 0.6928 0.4896 12.8280 2.0172 259.157 651 451 200 305 318 29 26 24 53 24 156
31 Billingsley 0.6717 0.5069 13.5631 (0.1448) 293.098 658 442 216 330 321 48 12 47 5 47 159
32 Keeper 0.6965 0.5153 13.3320 1.4481 283.150 659 459 200 336 316 22 6 42 50 44 164
33 ARGH Power Ratings 0.6783 0.4896 13.1870 (0.4374) 277.307 659 447 212 305 318 44 26 36 22 37 165
34 Daniel Curry Index 0.6844 0.5023 13.2074 0.6220 279.766 659 451 208 328 325 39 17 37 33 39 165
35 Moore Power Ratings 0.6824 0.4823 13.2258 (0.3403) 276.688 658 449 209 314 337 41 35 38 16 36 166
36 Dave Congrove 0.6829 0.5000 13.0635 0.9595 266.396 659 450 209 326 326 40 20 32 45 29 166
37 Linear Regression 0.6940 0.4870 13.0523 0.9573 276.636 232 161 71 112 118 27 30 31 44 35 167
38 Least Squares w/ HFA 0.6757 0.5598 14.2392 0.3910 313.539 185 125 60 103 81 46 1 54 19 51 171
39 FEI Projections 0.6758 0.4881 12.7028 (2.2269) 258.440 509 344 165 245 257 45 29 22 54 23 173
40 Dunkel Index 0.6926 0.4831 13.2629 0.8681 281.140 566 392 174 272 291 30 33 39 38 40 180
41 Howell 0.6813 0.4776 13.4560 (0.1964) 294.559 659 449 210 298 326 42 40 44 7 48 181
42 Beck Elo 0.6798 0.4777 13.2693 0.5697 276.016 659 448 211 311 340 43 39 40 28 34 184
43 Born Power Index 0.6950 0.4655 13.1452 1.1450 275.546 659 458 201 304 349 24 48 35 46 33 186
44 Massey Consensus 0.6904 0.4671 13.0337 1.3620 274.728 659 455 204 305 348 33 46 30 49 32 190
45 Payne W/L 0.6677 0.5038 13.6349 (0.5557) 295.265 659 440 219 328 323 52 15 48 27 49 191
46 Laffaye RWP 0.6909 0.4825 13.6728 (0.5838) 291.887 605 418 187 289 310 32 34 49 31 46 192
47 Payne Predict 0.6874 0.4631 13.3097 0.6584 279.412 659 453 206 301 349 36 51 41 34 38 200
48 DP Dwiggins 0.6980 0.4710 13.4750 (1.3323) 286.459 659 460 199 300 337 20 44 46 48 45 203
49 Stephen Kerns 0.6920 0.4715 14.2261 0.4720 319.663 659 456 203 306 343 31 43 53 24 54 205
50 Logistic Regression 0.6681 0.5348 14.7030 (1.2317) 383.121 232 155 77 123 107 51 2 55 47 55 210
51 Loudsound.org 0.6610 0.5136 14.1488 (3.7040) 314.235 652 431 221 321 304 54 8 51 55 52 220
52 Cleanup Hitter 0.6646 0.4661 14.0584 0.6063 308.176 659 438 221 296 339 53 47 50 32 50 232
53 Catherwood Ratings 0.6753 0.4446 13.4203 1.8270 281.995 659 445 214 281 351 47 54 43 52 41 237
54 PerformanZ Ratings 0.6586 0.4717 14.1999 0.7497 314.511 659 434 225 308 345 55 42 52 35 53 237
55 Catherwood Ratings 0.6706 0.4360 13.4666 1.7843 282.491 598 401 197 252 326 49 55 45 51 43 243

Enjoy the games, Go Eagles and Happy Thanksgiving to you and your families!

Power- The Book Power Ratings Ranking, SOR - The Book Strength of Record to date, Sagarin - Jeff Sagarin Rating, Massey - Massey Composite Computer poll ranking, ESPN FPI - ESPN Football Power Index ranking, AP - Associated Press writers poll, Coaches - ESPN Coaches Poll, CFP - College Football Play off Committee Rankings, Change from last week - Increase or decrease in last week's Book rankings

RANK TEAM WON LOST POWER SOR SAGARIN MASSEY ESPN
FPI
AP COACHES CFP CHANGE FROM
LAST WK
1 GEORGIA 11 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
2 OHIO ST 11 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0
3 MICHIGAN 11 0 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 0
4 TCU 11 0 15 3 13 4 15 4 4 4 2
5 ALABAMA 9 2 3 8 3 5 3 8 7 7 0
6 TENNESSEE 9 2 4 9 6 6 6 9 11 10 (2)
7 PENN ST 9 2 6 7 5 8 7 11 10 11 1
8 CLEMSON 10 1 9 5 11 7 9 7 8 8 (1)
9 LSU 9 2 7 10 10 9 10 6 6 5 0
10 USC 10 1 16 6 14 10 14 5 5 6 0
11 OREGON 9 2 14 11 9 12 13 10 9 9 1
12 KANSAS ST 8 3 12 18 12 11 12 15 13 12 3
13 UTAH 8 3 11 24 8 13 8 14 14 14 (2)
14 NOTRE DAME 8 3 13 23 15 16 16 13 15 15 3
15 FLORIDA ST 8 3 10 25 16 15 11 16 16 16 1
16 TEXAS 7 4 8 28 7 14 5 24 24 23 5
17 WASHINGTON 9 2 22 13 19 17 22 12 12 13 1
18 OREGON ST 8 3 17 21 18 19 23 22 22 21 4
19 MISSISSIPPI 8 3 26 20 22 18 17 20 19 20 (6)
20 CINCINNATI 9 2 39 15 39 25 33 21 21 24 3
21 NORTH CAROLINA 9 2 44 12 43 24 37 18 17 17 (7)
22 IOWA 7 4 18 30 21 26 31 5
23 MISSISSIPPI ST 7 4 20 29 23 20 18 5
24 TULANE 9 2 40 16 38 22 32 19 20 19 6
25 UCLA 8 3 30 26 26 21 29 17 18 18 (5)
26 LOUISVILLE 7 4 21 36 24 23 20 25 5
27 UTSA 9 2 49 19 54 36 51 25 6
28 ILLINOIS 7 4 27 38 33 30 26 1
29 UCF 8 3 36 27 35 28 27 25 22 (10)
30 MINNESOTA 7 4 25 45 29 41 21 (6)
31 OKLAHOMA 6 5 19 51 17 34 24 8
32 WASHINGTON ST 7 4 34 34 27 32 40 5
33 ARKANSAS 6 5 23 50 25 31 39 13
34 OKLAHOMA ST 7 4 32 40 28 27 36 (9)
35 BOISE ST 8 3 45 32 40 51 50 (1)
36 PURDUE 7 4 41 37 44 43 41 2
37 WAKE FOREST 7 4 35 42 36 29 35 4
38 FLORIDA 6 5 28 49 30 37 30 (12)
39 BAYLOR 6 5 24 59 20 35 19 (7)
40 SOUTH CAROLINA 7 4 43 39 45 38 56 14
41 TROY 9 2 68 17 66 39 70 2
42 PITTSBURGH 7 4 42 41 42 47 43 (2)
43 SOUTH ALABAMA 9 2 66 22 64 42 67 (1)
44 COASTAL CAROLINA 9 1 82 14 76 44 76 23 23 (9)
45 WISCONSIN 6 5 29 58 34 52 25 0
46 TEXAS TECH 6 5 31 57 31 33 34 7
47 KENTUCKY 6 5 33 52 37 45 42 (3)
48 NORTH CAROLINA ST 7 4 50 43 46 40 44 (12)
49 MARYLAND 6 5 46 48 47 48 38 (2)
50 AIR FORCE 8 3 62 35 56 57 60 1
51 HOUSTON 7 4 53 44 53 49 47 11
52 AUBURN 5 6 37 68 41 53 46 12
53 DUKE 7 4 51 46 49 58 53 (3)
54 OHIO 8 3 76 31 73 67 97 7
55 LIBERTY 8 3 79 33 78 60 71 (7)
56 FRESNO ST 7 4 54 54 61 65 68 9
57 SYRACUSE 6 5 56 62 58 50 48 0
58 MICHIGAN ST 5 6 48 72 55 63 49 (9)
59 KANSAS 6 5 65 55 51 46 55 (7)
60 BYU 6 5 59 64 60 62 62 3
61 SMU 6 5 57 66 59 55 59 (6)
62 WESTERN KENTUCKY 7 5 63 65 71 70 52 (6)
63 JAMES MADISON 7 3 75 47 67 59 66 3
64 MEMPHIS 6 5 58 70 52 66 54 4
65 EAST CAROLINA 6 5 64 67 65 64 61 (7)
66 IOWA ST 4 7 38 85 32 54 28 (6)
67 MARSHALL 7 4 71 61 68 56 69 7
68 MISSOURI 5 6 52 75 57 61 58 5
69 SAN DIEGO ST 7 4 81 53 79 75 91 3
70 TOLEDO 7 4 85 60 77 74 78 (11)
71 TEXAS A&M 4 7 47 94 48 72 45 0
72 WYOMING 7 4 92 56 93 80 102 (3)
73 MIAMI FL 5 6 61 81 72 79 63 (6)
74 VANDERBILT 5 6 80 73 81 68 87 8
75 WEST VIRGINIA 4 7 55 88 50 69 57 (5)
76 APPALACHIAN ST 6 5 73 79 74 71 64 3
77 NORTH TEXAS 6 5 83 76 92 85 77 0
78 SAN JOSE ST 6 4 95 69 91 81 89 (3)
79 ARIZONA 4 7 70 84 62 73 73 (3)
80 GEORGIA TECH 5 6 90 78 87 76 85 13
81 EASTERN MICHIGAN 7 4 105 63 102 95 112 7
82 INDIANA 4 7 77 83 82 78 81 12
83 UAB 5 6 72 90 84 82 65 (5)
84 UTAH ST 6 5 100 71 100 91 108 5
85 CALIFORNIA 4 7 74 89 63 77 72 7
86 NAVY 4 7 67 99 75 83 80 12
87 LOUISIANA 5 6 87 87 83 84 83 (7)
88 NEBRASKA 3 8 60 110 70 97 74 (5)
89 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 6 5 102 77 106 93 93 12
90 BUFFALO 5 5 94 82 94 87 96 (4)
91 BOWLING GREEN 6 5 111 74 112 98 121 14
92 ARMY 4 6 78 102 85 90 82 10
93 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 5 6 93 92 95 99 86 (12)
94 ARIZONA ST 3 8 69 112 69 89 75 (9)
95 SOUTHERN MISS 5 6 98 91 97 88 99 (8)
96 RUTGERS 4 7 96 97 98 96 98 (12)
97 GEORGIA ST 4 7 91 103 90 94 88 (2)
98 CONNECTICUT 6 6 114 80 114 101 120 (7)
99 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 5 6 101 93 99 92 95 (9)
100 STANFORD 3 8 89 105 80 86 79 (3)
101 VIRGINIA 3 7 88 106 86 100 84 (2)
102 TULSA 4 7 97 100 96 102 90 6
103 MIAMI OH 5 6 104 98 104 108 111 7
104 BALL ST 5 6 107 95 107 105 118 (8)
105 VIRGINIA TECH 3 8 86 116 89 107 94 6
106 UTEP 5 6 113 96 117 112 114 6
107 KENT ST 4 7 106 104 101 103 101 (7)
108 BOSTON COLLEGE 3 8 99 113 103 104 100 (4)
109 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 4 7 103 111 105 110 103 (6)
110 WESTERN MICHIGAN 4 7 108 109 108 116 117 6
111 UNLV 4 7 110 108 109 111 105 (5)
112 RICE 5 6 124 86 122 109 119 (5)
113 LA MONROE 4 7 118 101 119 106 115 (4)
114 NORTHWESTERN 1 10 84 126 88 115 92 (1)
115 TEXAS ST 4 7 117 114 121 113 109 4
116 TEMPLE 3 8 115 118 111 120 113 1
117 OLD DOMINION 3 8 116 117 113 114 106 (2)
118 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 3 8 109 121 110 117 110 (4)
119 NEW MEXICO ST 4 6 128 107 128 124 129 (1)
120 LOUISIANA TECH 3 8 121 119 123 121 116 0
121 ARKANSAS ST 3 8 120 120 118 119 104 0
122 COLORADO ST 2 9 119 124 116 122 124 1
123 HAWAII 3 9 122 123 124 126 127 6
124 SOUTH FLORIDA 1 10 112 129 115 123 107 0
125 COLORADO 1 10 123 125 120 118 122 (3)
126 CHARLOTTE 3 9 125 122 127 125 125 2
127 NEVADA 2 9 126 127 125 128 123 (2)
128 FLORIDA INTL 4 7 131 115 131 127 131 (2)
129 NEW MEXICO 2 9 129 128 126 129 126 (2)
130 AKRON 1 9 127 130 129 130 128 0
131 MASSACHUSETTS 1 10 130 131 130 131 130 0
ACC TEAM WON LOST POWER SOR SAGARIN MASSEY ESPN
FPI
AP COACHES CFP CHANGE FROM
LAST WK
1 CLEMSON 10 1 9 5 11 7 9 7 8 8 0
2 FLORIDA ST 8 3 10 25 16 15 11 16 16 16 1
3 NORTH CAROLINA 9 2 44 12 43 24 37 18 17 17 (1)
4 LOUISVILLE 7 4 21 36 24 23 20 25 0
5 WAKE FOREST 7 4 35 42 36 29 35 2
6 PITTSBURGH 7 4 42 41 42 47 43 0
7 NORTH CAROLINA ST 7 4 50 43 46 40 44 (2)
8 DUKE 7 4 51 46 49 58 53 0
9 SYRACUSE 6 5 56 62 58 50 48 0
10 MIAMI FL 5 6 61 81 72 79 63 0
11 GEORGIA TECH 5 6 90 78 87 76 85 0
12 VIRGINIA 3 7 88 106 86 100 84 0
13 VIRGINIA TECH 3 8 86 116 89 107 94 1
14 BOSTON COLLEGE 3 8 99 113 103 104 100 (1)
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG WIN
PROBABILITY
at Miami OH 3.1 Ball St 56.4%
at Ohio 11.8 Bowling Green 74.3%
at Mississippi 1.8 Mississippi St 53.7%
at Texas 9.3 Baylor 69.2%
at North Carolina 5.6 North Carolina St 61.5%
at Boise St 18.4 Utah St 87.9%
at Eastern Michigan 1.2 Central Michigan 52.5%
Toledo 5.2 at Western Michigan 60.7%
at Arizona 2.5 Arizona St 55.2%
Arkansas 7.4 at Missouri 65.2%
at Iowa 14.0 Nebraska 78.8%
UCLA 11.0 at California 72.7%
at Florida St 10.1 Florida 70.8%
at Fresno St 12.0 Wyoming 74.7%
at Alabama 20.8 Auburn 92.9%
at Georgia 38.0 Georgia Tech > 99.99%
Louisville 1.8 at Kentucky 53.7%
at Clemson 14.3 South Carolina 79.5%
LSU 11.0 at Texas A&M 72.7%
Tennessee 25.7 at Vanderbilt > 99.99%
Oregon 0.9 at Oregon St 51.9%
Utah 33.8 at Colorado > 99.99%
BYU 4.7 at Stanford 59.7%
Washington 1.6 at Washington St 53.3%
at TCU 10.8 Iowa St 72.3%
at Kansas St 19.5 Kansas 90.2%
Oklahoma 0.4 at Texas Tech 50.8%
at Oklahoma St 9.9 West Virginia 70.4%
Notre Dame 0.8 at USC 51.6%
Army 19.7 at Massachusetts 90.6%
at Liberty 22.7 New Mexico St 96.8%
Illinois 13.0 at Northwestern 76.8%
at Wisconsin 0.7 Minnesota 51.4%
Purdue 7.9 at Indiana 66.3%
at Maryland 16.1 Rutgers 83.2%
at Penn St 20.2 Michigan St 91.6%
Syracuse 8.4 at Boston College 67.3%
Wake Forest 2.9 at Duke 56.0%
Pittsburgh 3.4 at Miami FL 57.0%
at Virgnia Tech 3.5 Virginia 57.2%
at San Jose St 13.5 Hawaii 77.8%
East Carolina 12.8 at Temple 76.4%
at Cincinnati 3.9 Tulane 58.0%
at SMU 3.4 Memphis 57.0%
at UNLV 11.0 Nevada 72.7%
UCF 18.5 at South Florida 88.1%
at Houston 12.1 Tulsa 74.9%
at Northern Illinois 11.6 Akron 73.9%
at Buffalo 7.2 Kent St 64.8%
Appalachian St 4.6 at Georgia Southern 59.5%
at James Madison 3.2 Coastal Carolina 56.6%
Troy 14.6 at Arkansas St 80.1%
Southern Miss 5.6 at LA Monroe 61.5%
Louisiana 8.1 at Texas St 66.7%
at South Alabama 16.4 Old Dominion 83.8%
at Marshall 6.0 Georgia St 62.4%
at Ohio St 9.6 Michigan 69.8%
Western Kentucky 5.8 at Florida Atlantic 62.0%
at North Texas 17.3 Rice 85.6%
at Colorado St 10.2 New Mexico 71.0%
UAB 13.4 at Louisiana Tech 77.6%
at UTSA 20.1 UTEP 91.4%
Middle Tennessee 19.3 at Florida Intl 89.8%
Vs The Vegas Spread Won Lost Pct.
Week 32 27 0.542
Previous 266 316 0.45704
Total 298 343 0.46490
Pct Correct Won Lost Pct
Week 44 17 0.721
Previous 424 171 0.713
Total 468 188 0.71341
Absolute Error Avg Games
Week 12.6048 61
Previous 12.3507 598
Total 12.3742 659
Mean Square Error Avg Games
Week 265.7533 61
Previous 239.7004 598
Total 242.1120 659
Bias Avg Games
Week 0.4016 61
Previous 0.2072 598
Total 0.2252 659