BC vs. Temple: BC Wins If, BC Loses If, Win Probability

The Boston College Eagles take on the Temple Owls on September 29th at home in Chestnut Hill. This of course is a matchup of Steve Addazio’s current program, and his former program, and the two faced off numerous times in the Big East, so there is a bit of history to it. Today let’s look at the matchup, what the Eagles need to do win, what could cause them to lose, and the win probability of this game.

BC Wins If: Just like many of games this season, successfully establishing the run is going to dictate whether the Eagles win or lose. In games Temple lost last year, they allowed an average of 235.5 yards per game. BC should have no problem moving the ball against Temple, and if AJ Dillon can have a big game that should really open the game up for Anthony Brown as well. Force Temple to play from behind and it plays right into the Eagles’ strengths. On the defensive side of the ball, BC is going to need a solid game out of their secondary. Temple has some strong wide receivers who can make big plays, and it will be up to Lukas Denis, Will Harris and others to make sure that they prevent those big plays, and cause turnovers, something the Owls are susceptible to giving up.

BC Loses If: Temple jumps up out early and grabs early momentum. As mentioned before Temple can put up points, and they are a team that has to be jonesing to take out a P5 team. If BC lets them dictate the pace, and Addazio starts feeling the pressure, the Eagles could continue to make mistakes and play right into the hands of the Temple offense. BC is going to want to take the energy out of Temple immediately, so the last thing they want to do is let up big plays early.

Win Percentage: 85%. I just don’t see Temple winning here. They are a solid AAC team, and poised for a strong year, but I just don’t see them stopping A.J. Dillon. It may not be a pretty win for the Eagles, and may end up closer than many may want, but I think Boston College ends September with another win.

(Editors Note: Sorry for the delay on a few of our weekly features, the interview with a Temple writer, and Playa Haters Ball are both on their way).