Team: Florida State Seminoles
SBNation Site: Tomahawk Nation https://www.tomahawknation.com/
Game Date, Location: October 27, Chestnut Hill
2016 Record: 10-3
2016 Overall Offense Ranking: 25th
2016 Overall Defense Ranking: 22nd
Bill Connolly’s Projected S&P: 3rd
Last 2 Matchups: (2016) Florida State 45 BC 7 (2015) Florida State 14 BC 0
Key Players: The ‘Noles return Deondre Francis behind center who would likely be the favorite to win ACC Player of the Year if Lamar Jackson wasn’t in the conference. Francis had a really successful first season at QB, passing for 3,350 yards and 20 touchdowns. The quarterback also chipped in with 328 yards and 5 touchdowns on the ground. Francis will be one of the top two quarterbacks that BC goes against all year, and if you are a gambler he is worth a shot at 20-to-1 odds to win the Heisman.
The ‘Noles bring in arguably the best running back recruit in the nation, Cam Akers, who might be the top running back in the ACC even as a frosh.
On defense a major strength of FSU looks to be the defensive line. Last year the FSU defense averaged 3.92 sacks per game, which was tops in the nation, and a big reason for that was the defensive line. The best of the bunch might be, Josh Sweat, who hit his stride late in the season. Over the final three games Sweat racked up 4.5 sacks and showed why he was the former top ranked recruit.
I’d me doing a major injustice if I didn’t mention safety, Derwin James, who could very well be a top 5 pick in next year’s NFL Draft. He is the best safety in the nation for my money and returns after playing only two games last year due to injury. Cornerback Tarvarus McFadden was a first team All-American last year and with James probably forms the best 1-2 secondary punch in the nation.
Why Boston College Will Win This Game: If FSU does have a question mark on offense it is on the line. While they do have a very good center, Alec Eberle, there is nobody on the roster with experience at left tackle. That would be a formula for a nightmare going against Harold Laundry on a blustery Friday night at the Heights.
Also, in what seems like a common theme on BC’s schedule, an opponent faces BC off of an emotional game. FSU travels to BC the week after hosting Louisville in what will surely be hyped as a “payback” game after the Cardinals waxed FSU on national TV last year. Just something to consider for BC.
Why Boston College Will Not Win This Game: Many of the same cast of characters return from last season’s game which saw the ‘Noles victorious by a score of 45-7. If the ‘Noles figure out the right combination of the line it negates the edge that BC will have in this game and things could get ugly.
The FSU front seven is very talented and that usually spells a recipe for disaster for the BC offense. This is not a game that BC can get into a shootout and is a game that BC will probably have to keep under 32 points being scored.
Hoff’s Odds BC Wins This Game: 15% Even if FSU is getting shaky play from the left tackle it still will be a tall task for BC to come away with the upset. There are a lot of things that have to go right and FSU would have to be in complete letdown mode after the Louisville game.