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The Book 2016: Week 5

Aggies go to the top of the CFP style class. A look at the CFP style vs Book power rankings after month one. Eagles big favorite vs another inferior opponent.

By John Fidler
Gig Em rides Trevor Knight to #1 in the CFP style poll
Gig Em rides Trevor Knight to #1 in the CFP style poll
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

September goes into the books as far as the 2016 college football season is concerned and from the perspective of the Book, it ended on a very high note indeed.

The Book posted one of its best weeks in recent years, going 33-18-1 for a .644 winning percentage and erased the horrid start to the season, now with its nose seven games over .500!

I thought this might be a great time to compare the College Football Playoff Committee style rankings we have been looking at so far, with a more traditional power poll that we also keep.  This poll is the one we posted in the past years and is in line with what the Massey or Sagarin ratings would show you.

Not surprising, the lists are a bit different, as Massey, Sagarin and our power poll have Ohio State as #1, while in the CFP style format, Texas A&M leads the way.  The Aggies have one more data point than do the Buckeyes, ranked #10 in our poll, and also now sport wins over Arkansas, UCLA and Auburn, who are currently #40, #22 and #24 respectively in the power poll.  Contrast this to OSU, with wins over Bowling Green (#117), Tulsa (#70) and Oklahoma (#19) and you can see where the Aggies get their edge.

A&M's ranking of #9 in the Book's power poll, compares favorably with its Massey composite ranking of #8 and Sagarin's at #6.

To remind you once again, the CFP style poll is strictly looking at your resume:  who you have beaten, who you have lost to, as opposed to the power poll, which evaluates how "good" you supposedly are.

If you are wondering where the Eagles stand, they are #90 in our CFP poll, #85 in our power poll, #79 in the Massey rankings and #79 in the Sagarin rankings.  Pretty consistent.

BC gained a bit in the power poll last week, but got no value from beating Wagner in terms of the CFP style poll and won't gain much this week either with the Buffalo Bulls coming to town. The Book has the Eagles a 17 point favorite over the team which upset Army last week.

Some big games around the country this week, including one, if not the ACC game of the season, where Clemson (#11 CFP, #7 Power poll) is a 2.3 point favorite over Louisville (#6 CFP #4 Power poll)

I listed all the ACC and Top 25 game point spreads here, but I do have them all, so if you are interested in a game not listed, just let me know.

Enjoy the games and Go Eagles!

Note:  the Massey composite rankings are as of Tuesday night, September 27.

CFP COMMITTEE STYLE RANKING
RANK TEAM RECORD MASSEY BOOK POWER
1 Texas A&M Aggies 4-0 8 9
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 4-0 2 2
3 Wisconsin Badgers 4-0 10 11
4 Stanford Cardinal 3-0 5 5
5 Tennessee Volunteers 4-0 9 13
6 Louisville Cardinals 4-0 6 4
7 Utah Utes 4-0 20 27
8 Houston Cougars 4-0 7 6
9 Nebraska Cornhuskers 4-0 13 15
10 Ohio State Buckeyes 3-0 1 1
11 Clemson Tigers 4-0 4 7
12 Michigan Wolverines 4-0 3 3
13 Florida State Seminoles 3-1 11 8
14 Arizona State Sun Devils 4-0 27 35
15 West Virginia Mountaineers 3-0 18 25
16 Western Michigan Broncos 4-0 22 30
17 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 4-0 42 54
18 Boise State Broncos 3-0 17 21
19 Baylor Bears 4-0 14 17
20 Georgia Bulldogs 3-1 37 43
21 Washington Huskies 4-0 12 14
22 Arkansas Razorbacks 3-1 19 40
23 North Carolina Tar Heels 3-1 31 16
24 San Diego State Aztecs 3-0 30 32
25 Miami-Florida Hurricanes 3-0 15 12
26 Colorado Buffaloes 3-1 32 37
27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 3-1 40 42
28 Auburn Tigers 2-2 28 24
29 Minnesota Golden Gophers 3-0 43 56
30 Toledo Rockets 3-0 33 39
31 Virginia Tech Hokies 3-1 21 18
32 Air Force Falcons 3-0 46 60
33 Texas Longhorns 2-1 51 29
34 Navy Midshipmen 3-0 35 68
35 Michigan State Spartans 2-1 41 38
36 TCU Horned Frogs 3-1 25 23
37 Maryland Terrapins 3-0 56 61
38 Memphis Tigers 3-0 26 45
39 Troy Trojans 3-1 47 66
40 South Florida Bulls 3-1 39 34
41 Florida Gators 3-1 24 28
42 Central Michigan Chippewas 3-1 66 69
43 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 3-1 64 70
44 Ole Miss Rebels 2-2 16 10
45 Cincinnati Bearcats 3-1 52 63
46 Iowa Hawkeyes 3-1 36 26
47 UCLA Bruins 2-2 34 22
48 California Golden Bears 2-2 50 45
49 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 3-1 74 76
50 Kansas State Wildcats 2-1 38 33
51 Texas Tech Red Raiders 2-1 48 52
52 Army Black Knights 3-1 73 91
53 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 3-1 60 64
54 Ball State Cardinals 3-1 81 95
55 Appalachian St. Mountaineers 2-2 53 75
56 Penn State Nittany Lions 2-2 65 55
57 Pittsburgh Panthers 2-2 58 41
58 Eastern Michigan Eagles 3-1 98 108
59 Georgia Southern Eagles 3-1 61 82
60 Purdue Boilermakers 2-1 85 78
61 LSU Tigers 2-2 29 20
62 Indiana Hoosiers 2-1 63 71
63 Vanderbilt Commodores 2-2 70 58
64 N.C. State Wolfpack 2-1 62 51
65 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2-2 49 47
66 South Carolina Gamecocks 2-2 75 65
67 Kentucky Wildcats 2-2 82 73
68 East Carolina Pirates 2-2 77 88
69 Syracuse Orange 2-2 76 81
70 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 2-2 88 79
71 Texas State Bobcats 1-2 103 125
72 Oklahoma Sooners 1-2 23 19
73 Duke Blue Devils 2-2 72 57
74 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2-2 68 67
75 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 2-2 59 53
76 Idaho Vandals 2-2 110 119
77 Akron Zips 2-2 78 96
78 Oregon Ducks 2-2 44 48
79 USC Trojans 1-3 45 31
80 Arizona Wildcats 2-2 69 59
81 SMU Mustangs 2-2 96 99
82 Missouri Tigers 2-2 54 50
83 BYU Cougars 1-3 55 44
84 UCF Knights 2-2 86 90
85 South Alabama Jaguars 2-2 101 121
86 Utah State Aggies 2-2 90 83
87 Nevada Wolf Pack 2-2 99 92
88 Ohio University Bobcats 2-2 84 86
89 Hawaii Warriors 1-3 120 118
90 Boston College Eagles 2-2 79 85
91 Illinois Fighting Illini 1-2 95 89
92 Wyoming Cowboys 2-2 102 102
93 Oregon State Beavers 1-2 87 80
94 Old Dominion Monarchs 2-2 104 101
95 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 2-2 97 110
96 ULM Warhawks 1-2 112 123
97 Tulane Green Wave 2-2 83 103
98 North Texas Mean Green 2-2 118 116
99 Colorado State Rams 2-2 92 93
100 Connecticut Huskies 2-2 91 94
101 Marshall Thundering Herd 1-2 93 87
102 Iowa St. Cyclones 1-3 100 77
103 Washington State Cougars 1-2 57 36
104 Temple Owls 2-2 80 72
105 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1-3 67 49
106 Northwestern Wildcats 1-3 71 62
107 Massachusetts Minutemen 1-3 116 115
108 Virginia Cavaliers 1-3 94 74
109 Kansas Jayhawks 1-2 115 114
110 Fresno State Bulldogs 1-3 107 105
111 New Mexico Lobos 1-2 108 97
112 Florida Atlantic Owls 1-3 114 107
113 Texas-El Paso Miners 1-3 124 120
114 Bowling Green Falcons 1-3 105 117
115 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1-3 89 84
116 Buffalo Bulls 1-2 111 113
117 Georgia State Panthers 0-3 106 112
118 Kent State Golden Flashes 1-3 122 106
119 New Mexico State Aggies 1-3 127 126
120 San Jose State Spartans 1-3 113 100
121 UNLV Rebels 1-3 119 109
122 Charlotte 49ers 1-3 125 128
123 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 1-3 123 122
124 Northern Illinois Huskies 0-4 109 98
125 Miami-Ohio Redhawks 0-4 121 104
126 Rice Owls 0-4 126 124
127 Arkansas State Red Wolves 0-4 117 111
128 FIU Panthers 0-4 128 127

THE ACC/CFP RANKINGS
RANK TEAM REC MASSEY BOOK POWER
1 Louisville 4-0 6 4
2 Clemson 4-0 4 7
3 Florida State 3-1 11 8
4 Wake Forest 4-0 42 54
5 North Carolina 3-1 31 16
6 Miami 3-0 15 12
7 Georgia Tech 3-1 40 42
8 Virginia Tech 3-1 21 18
9 Pittsburgh 2-2 58 41
10 North Carolina State 2-2 62 51
11 Syracuse 2-2 76 81
12 Duke 2-2 72 57
13 Boston College 2-2 79 85
14 Virginia 1-3 94 74

Records shown against the Vegas spread (starting next week) utilize the Danny Sheridan opening line.  The spreads below are ones created by the Book.

Week Record:  Won 33 Lost 18 Tied 1 .644 winning percentage
Season Record:  Won 98 Lost 91 Tied 3 .518 winning percentage


NATIONAL/ACC SPREADS
FAVORITE SPREAD UNDERDOG
at Houston 38.0 Connecticut
Stanford 1.6 at Washington
at UCLA 15.9 Arizona
at Boise State 23.3 Utah State
Notre Dame 11.1 Syracuse
at Alabama 36.5 Kentucky
at Auburn 40.2 Louisiana-Monroe
Tennessee 5.4 at Georgia
at LSU 12.5 Missouri
at Mississippi 16.5 Memphis
Texas A&M 17.4 at South Carolina
at Boston College 17.0 Buffalo
at Pittsburgh 18.2 Marshall
at Clemson 2.3 Louisville
at Duke 8.0 Virginia
at Florida State 12.9 North Carolina
at NC State 6.1 Wake Forest
at West Virginia 5.7 Kansas State
at TCU 3.2 Oklahoma
Baylor 14.6 at Iowa State
Miami FL 5.9 at Georgia Tech
at Michigan 12.3 Wisconsin
at Ohio State 40.8 Rutgers
at Nebraska 27.1 Illinois

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