College Football Betting Picks, Week 4: Back Over .500!

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 8-7

Lock of the Week: 3-0

Wagner at Boston College (-34)

Let’s be honest. You have to be a sick puppy to touch this game if you aren’t associated with BC or Wagner.

I don’t know much about Wagner but I do know that they are 2-0 after wins against DII teams St. Anselm and Concordia. That is a really tough jump to play a couple DII teams and then go against this BC defense.

BC wins 35-0.

Wake Forest at Indiana (-7.5)

I’ll keep it simple here. Indiana has the type of offense that can pile up 31+ points pretty easily. Wake is an offense that thinks it had a great day if it put up 24 points. I’ll take the superior offense in this one and the home team.

Florida (+6.5) at Tennessee

Florida will be without Luke Del Rio in Knoxville on Saturday. I don’t like taking backup quarterbacks on the road in the SEC but I do like Florida here.

The Gators defense is straight nasty and has allowed only 14 points through three games. On the other side of the ball, the Tennessee offensive line has been a mess all season and things aren’t going to get any better against what is by far the best defense the Vols’ have been up against all year.

The other wildcard for me in this is the coaching match-up. Florida coach Jim McElwain is one of the top schemers in the country while his counterpart in this game, Butch Jones, is one of the worst game day coaches in the conference IMO. Take the points and if you feel lucky perhaps put a little on the outright win by Florida.

Stanford at UCLA (+3)

Stanford has had UCLA’s number recently but I think it’s time for that to end. We all know about UCLA’s superstar quarterback Josh Rosen and how he can hang a bunch of points on you in a hurry. That’s not why I really like UCLA though.

Christian McCaffrey is Stanford’s offense as he is shown by piling up 300 yards in just two games. The problem is that the UCLA defense isn’t a bunch of soft surfer dudes from California. The Bruins have multiple NFL players across its defense and is coming off of a performance where they allowed only 23 yards on 25 carries to BYU.

Meanwhile, Stanford hasn’t shown me that it can throw the ball down the field.  Ryan Burns has a stat line like Steve Addazio is his coach (258 yards through two games) and only has 10 pass attempts of 10 yards or more this season. UCLA slows down the Stanford offense and Rosen puts up enough points to win this game outright for the Bruins.

Lock of the Week

Syracuse (+5.5) at UConn

It’s way too late to get the game at this price but I was able to snag it at 5 ½ on Tuesday. It still might be worth it where it sits at 3.5 right now.

UConn is coming off of a three point win over Virginia who is probably the worst team in the ACC. Virginia actually out gained UConn 381 yards to 277 and might have beaten the Huskies if it weren’t for a ridiculous 10 penalties committed for 91 yards.

Syracuse has had a rough start to the year getting blown out by Louisville and South Florida. However, we obviously saw last weekend how good the Cardinals are and the Bulls aren’t a bad team by any means. USF is a favorite to win the AAC, is only 5 point underdogs to FSU this weekend, and aside from ‘Cuse they put a thumping on one of the best teams in the MAC, Northern Illinois, 48-17. I think the Bulls are a legit team.

‘Cuse keeps this one close and might even upset the Huskies.