College Football Betting Picks, Week 12: Grabbing Some Dogs

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 29-26

Lock of the Week: 9-2

UConn (+8.5) at Boston College

Wow how do I even begin to pick this game? Just when you thought Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump would be the most painful matchup to pick in 2016 along comes Steve Addazio and Bob Diaco. It’s a matchup of Addazio who is 25-33 at the Heights against Diaco who is 14-31 at Storrs. It’s a matchup of the 124^th scoring offense against the 128^th scoring offense. It’s a matchup of coaches that have each lost games in the last year after having the ball at the 1-yard line with under 20 seconds left and running the ball with no timeouts.

With all that being said I have no idea why either of these teams is favored by over a touchdown. I’m just taking the points here.

USC at UCLA (+13.5)

One of the reasons I love November in college football is for the rivalry games. Sadly we seem to be losing them lately with all of the college expansion.

UCLA started the year with national title aspirations but have sludged through the season with six losses. The good news is that the Bruins haven’t lost a game by more than ten points this year. A big part of that is the defense which is 20^th in the country in holding its opponents below their season average in yards

USC is coming off of a big upset against Washington and is feeling good about this game. The Trojans win but I think the line is too high.

Indiana (+24.5) at Michigan

Not only is it rivalry time of year but it is the time of the year that the college football playoff teams all have jacked up point spreads!

For anyone that took Indiana last week and lost on that horrible fumble returned for a touchdown beat I know you’re hurting. Hear me out though. People forget that Indiana was two seconds away from beating Michigan last season so it’s not like this would be unprecedented for the Hoosiers to keep it close.

On the other sideline Michigan quarterback Wilton Speight might be out for the year, but at the very least he is out this weekend. The Wolverines have failed to cover in three of the last four games and they have to be looking ahead at least a little bit to the showdown against Ohio State next weekend.

Florida at LSU (-14)

This spread looks weird for a reason. The Gators are on the road for the third time in four weeks, which is always a tall order. Imagine if the ACC did that to Addazio? Florida is missing its quarterback, two starters on the offensive line and its three leading tacklers this season. YIKES!

With a 38-10 drubbing of Arkansas last week LSU showed it is still playing hard for Coach O even after the loss to Bama.

Lock of the Week

Kansas State (-2) at Baylor

After starting 6-0 the Bears are on a free fall and have lost three straight. Could the reduced scholarships finally be catching up with them? Could the staff be distracted because they know they need to look for new jobs next year?

The Baylor defense has allowed 47 points and almost 350 yards per game on the ground in the last three games. I don’t think the Wildcats will have a tough time scoring.

On the flip side, Bill Snyder is going against a freshman QB. I think I know who I like there.

As a bonus, Bill Snyder is coming off of a bye week where he is 19-9 all-time.