Last Week: 2-3
Overall: 18-22 (17-16 on non-BC games)
Lock of the Week: 7-1
Boston College (+15) at NC State
My record is an atrocious 1-6 on BC games this year. I blame the bullies on Twitter that are giving me a hard time when I lose!
I think the ‘Pack when this game by 14 and the Eagles cover by a point when Addazio elects to kick a field goal with two minutes remaining in the game.
Auburn (-4) at Ole Miss
Sometimes when you get on a streak you have to just keep rolling with a team. I’ve hit on two straight plays betting against Ole Miss behind teams that can run the ball. The Rebels continue to just be horrendous at stopping the run, allowing a ridiculous 6 yards per carry and 268 yards per game in SEC play.
Auburn rolls in averaging 300+ yards on the ground per game, including 290 yards per game in SEC play. The Tigers are on a roll and if they win this they will be favored every game up until the Iron Bowl in a few weeks.
Maryland at Indiana (-4.5)
I think Indiana is a lot better than its 3-4 record indicates. The Hoosiers controlled the game against Wake, except for the scoreboard of course, and the other three losses came against OSU, Nebraska and Northwestern which are three really solid to great teams.
Maryland quarterback Perry Hill came back last week against Michigan State and rolled up 400+ yards on Sparty. I don’t think that he will have that same success against Indiana’s defense and I say the Hoosiers win by a touchdown at home.
Washington at Utah (+10.5)
Utah is one of my favorite teams to bet on at home, so this double digit line immediately drew me to this game. Mix in the fact that College Gameday is in town and this sets up for a nice spot for the Utes.
Washington has been blowing the doors off of teams which scares me for sure. But who have they beaten that we think is a good team? Stanford? Oregon on the road? If Utah scores on a 1-yard touchdown against Cal on the last play of the game on October 1st and comes in here undefeated are they a 10+ point dog? I say no so I think that I’m getting good value here.
Lock of the Week
Northwestern (+27.5) at Ohio State
Ohio State has really struggled to cover big spreads in the last few weeks as they’ve went 0-3 ATS during that span. The Buckeye offense is just not quite functioning as it should right now which makes me think they will have a hard time covering a number like this against the Wildcats.
The big reason that I like Northwestern is their offense. In conference play the Wildcats are averaging 32 points per game, which puts them behind only Michigan and Ohio State in points per game. I think OSU wins by 17-21 and doesn’t cover the spread.