Week 7 is here, one more week until the literal midway point of the regular season and a Saturday off for our Eagles, but most of the rest of the country is busy and clearly there are some big games that will have major playoff implications for the committee and The Book.
With Texas A&M's 2OT win over Tennessee last week, the Aggies maintained the #1 spot in our committee style (re: worthiness) ranking, actually slightly growing their margin over #2 Alabama. As you can see this is a very top heavy SEC/Big 10 list, with 3 of the top 7 SEC and another 2 from the Big 10.
You've seen that we have numerous ways to look at rankings. A power ranking where we look at the overall strength of a team, this should be more in line with Jeff Sagarin and the Massey composite polls you see weekly. The CFP committee style ranking we are highlighting this season, rewarding simply who you beat and who you lose to and now we introduce a combined ranking, taking the best of both the CFP and power rankings designed to reward both worthiness and who we think is the best team.
By those measurements, to no one's surprise, Alabama tops the list, followed by Ohio State, Michigan and Clemson.
My next expansion of this is to include weighted opponents strength of schedule.
Hurricane Matthew played a very interesting role in the season last weekend, by at least postponing and possibly cancelling LSU's game at Florida. That would give the Tigers and Gators one less data point (11) than all of their other competitors (12) and a big one at that with it being a conference game and that is important to understand now and down the road.
You can see how far down Louisville dropped after losing at Clemson and they do seem to be considerably lower than you would expect in the two polls shown here, but the Cards are actually #6 in the power poll, exactly where Sagarin has them. Why the difference and why the potential issue for LSU and Florida. Data points.
The UofL has played one less game than most of the teams in front of them and has also beaten (at the time) the poorest FBS team in the country in Charlotte. They will eventually make up that one game, but as the committee has pointed out, they look at all data points and in aggregate rather than average, so whether it be LSU and Florida missing a data point, a Louisville not making the conference title game or the Big 12 not having a title game, that value will indeed be held against them by the committee as something they need to overcome in one or potentially even two games less.
BC's loss to Clemson dropped them a few notches in our various polls. The Eagles are #83 in the CFP style and power polls, #86 in the combined polls, now ahead of only next week's opponent, Syracuse in the ACC.
The Book had a solid week of 30-24-0 .556 for the week to sit at .512 for the season.
Enjoy the games and Go Eagles!
Here is a week by week look at the CFP style top 4:
|3||Alabama||Ohio State||Texas A&M||Houston|
|8||North Carolina State||4-1||36||33|
|Louisiana Tech||16.3||at UMass|
|at LSU||30.8||So Mississippi|
|at Colorado||7.8||Arizona State|
|at Washington State||8.8||UCLA|
|at Boise State||30.5||Colorado State|
|Ohio State||7.6||at Wisconsin|
|at Oklahoma||12.3||Kansas State|
|West Virginia||2.9||at Texas Tech|
|at Clemson||24.7||North Carolina State|
|at Florida State||25.4||Wake Forest|
|at Georgia Tech||18.1||Georgia Southern|
|Virginia Tech||24.8||at Syracuse|
|Western Michigan||18.2||at Akron|
|at Miami||8.7||North Carolina|
|Stanford||3.2||at Notre Dame|