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The Book and Phil Steele close out the season by being first a beneficiary and then a victim of a back door cover. Both picked Alabama to win the national championship game and gave 10+ points then saw Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry seemingly put a bow on it all with 1:07, only to have it all taken away when Clemson scored with just 12 seconds left to get the final margin to five.
This means that Steele officially finishes the season at 385-362-16 .515 for the season and The Book at 374-367-1 .505. So if you decided to put $100 a game on every game this season, as it usually does, you would have taken home some money, to the tune of $2,300 from Steele and $700 from the Book...not too shabby...but we want more.
Every year I have a goal of further automating and evolving what this is capable of doing. This year introduced some automation of point spreads and the concept of a strength of record rating, which going forward (including today) I am going to use as the official ranking and then use the magazines (still don't know if I will use one or both again next year) for the point spreads/power rankings.
The goals for next year are two fold. Increase winner vs the spread to at least 55% and see if more consistency to the Massey ratings can be achieved using strength of record.
The final ratings are below and pretty closely resemble what one would find with the AP, Massey or Sagarin polls..all through some silly formulas.
Boston College stayed where they were prior to the bowl season. #99 in strength of record and #81/72 in the power ratings of the two pre-season publications.
I hope that you enjoyed another season of the Book and you know now how I will spend at least some of my spring and summer evenings!
'Til next year...Go Eagles!
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SOR | GP/PS | TEAM | REC | MASSEY |
1 | 1/1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 14-1 | 1 |
2 | 3/4 | Clemson Tigers | 14-1 | 2 |
3 | 4/3 | Stanford Cardinal | 12-2 | 5 |
4 | 2/2 | Oklahoma Sooners | 11-2 | 4 |
5 | 5/5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 12-1 | 3 |
6 | 7/6 | TCU Horned Frogs | 11-2 | 9 |
7 | 12/15 | Michigan State Spartans | 12-2 | 7 |
8 | 9/11 | Houston Cougars | 13-1 | 11 |
9 | 16/16 | LSU Tigers | 9-4 | 12 |
10 | 19/20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10-3 | 10 |
11 | 6/7 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-3 | 6 |
12 | 31/28 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 12-2 | 13 |
13 | 33/30 | Utah Utes | 10-3 | 18 |
14 | 10/10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 11-3 | 17 |
15 | 47/45 | Northwestern Wildcats | 10-3 | 30 |
16 | 18/19 | Michigan Wolverines | 10-3 | 8 |
17 | 8/8 | Baylor Bears | 10-3 | 14 |
18 | 34/29 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 10-3 | 24 |
19 | 42/42 | Florida Gators | 10-4 | 26 |
20 | 30/33 | Toledo Rockets | 10-2 | 28 |
21 | 17/13 | Oregon Ducks | 9-4 | 23 |
22 | 11/14 | Florida State Seminoles | 10-3 | 16 |
23 | 32/40 | Navy Midshipmen | 11-2 | 22 |
24 | 25/23 | Georgia Bulldogs | 10-3 | 25 |
25 | 23/25 | Wisconsin Badgers | 10-3 | 21 |
26 | 26/24 | Washington State Cougars | 9-4 | 36 |
27 | 20/27 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 12-2 | 27 |
28 | 15/17 | Mississippi St. Bulldogs | 9-4 | 19 |
29 | 13/9 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 8-5 | 20 |
30 | 14/12 | Tennessee Volunteers | 9-4 | 15 |
31 | 40/35 | UCLA Bruins | 8-5 | 37 |
32 | 27/21 | USC Trojans | 8-6 | 29 |
33 | 43/38 | Miami-Florida Hurricanes | 8-5 | 47 |
34 | 49/51 | Temple Owls | 10-4 | 40 |
35 | 48/43 | Texas A&M Aggies | 8-5 | 33 |
36 | 38/31 | California Golden Bears | 8-5 | 32 |
37 | 46/46 | BYU Cougars | 9-4 | 39 |
38 | 51/52 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 8-5 | 44 |
39 | 22/26 | San Diego State Aztecs | 11-3 | 42 |
40 | 35/34 | Louisville Cardinals | 8-5 | 43 |
41 | 24/22 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 8-5 | 31 |
42 | 29/47 | Bowling Green Falcons | 10-4 | 41 |
43 | 70/74 | Appalachian St. Mountaineers | 11-2 | 45 |
44 | 52/54 | Memphis Tigers | 9-4 | 35 |
45 | 28/32 | Auburn Tigers | 7-6 | 38 |
46 | 21/18 | Washington Huskies | 7-6 | 34 |
47 | 62/58 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 7-6 | 50 |
48 | 59/59 | Duke Blue Devils | 8-5 | 58 |
49 | 44/37 | Boise State Broncos | 9-4 | 46 |
50 | 45/39 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 6-7 | 52 |
51 | 67/70 | Marshall Thundering Herd | 10-3 | 57 |
52 | 41/48 | South Florida Bulls | 8-5 | 51 |
53 | 50/57 | Georgia Southern Eagles | 9-4 | 53 |
54 | 39/41 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 7-6 | 55 |
55 | 36/49 | Western Michigan Broncos | 8-5 | 54 |
56 | 56/66 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 9-4 | 62 |
57 | 55/50 | Arizona Wildcats | 7-6 | 61 |
58 | 54/44 | Texas Longhorns | 5-7 | 60 |
59 | 61/60 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 7-6 | 49 |
60 | 75/83 | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9-4 | 66 |
61 | 58/53 | Kansas State Wildcats | 6-7 | 63 |
62 | 53/64 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 9-5 | 64 |
63 | 60/55 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 6-7 | 59 |
64 | 37/36 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 6-7 | 48 |
65 | 57/56 | N.C. State Wolfpack | 7-6 | 56 |
66 | 73/73 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 7-6 | 67 |
67 | 76/84 | Ohio University Bobcats | 8-5 | 71 |
68 | 79/76 | Air Force Falcons | 8-6 | 68 |
69 | 85/88 | Northern Illinois Huskies | 8-6 | 72 |
70 | 84/90 | Akron Zips | 8-5 | 79 |
71 | 63/62 | Indiana Hoosiers | 6-7 | 65 |
72 | 72/69 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 5-7 | 70 |
73 | 79/79 | Connecticut Huskies | 6-7 | 84 |
74 | 89/87 | Central Michigan Chippewas | 7-6 | 73 |
75 | 71/75 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 7-6 | 78 |
76 | 68/63 | Missouri Tigers | 5-7 | 69 |
77 | 91/93 | Colorado State Rams | 7-6 | 88 |
78 | 78/77 | Kentucky Wildcats | 5-7 | 83 |
79 | 82/89 | New Mexico Lobos | 7-6 | 89 |
80 | 86/86 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 6-7 | 87 |
81 | 65/68 | Virginia Cavaliers | 4-8 | 75 |
82 | 93/92 | Nevada Wolf Pack | 7-6 | 91 |
83 | 90/91 | Utah State Aggies | 6-7 | 76 |
84 | 77/78 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 4-8 | 81 |
85 | 66/65 | Iowa St. Cyclones | 3-9 | 82 |
86 | 83/82 | East Carolina Pirates | 5-7 | 77 |
87 | 95/95 | San Jose State Spartans | 6-7 | 90 |
88 | 74/67 | Colorado Buffaloes | 4-9 | 93 |
89 | 69/71 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 3-9 | 80 |
90 | 88/81 | Syracuse Orange | 3-9 | 86 |
91 | 64/61 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 3-9 | 74 |
92 | 99/96 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 4-8 | 92 |
93 | 96/98 | Georgia State Panthers | 6-7 | 96 |
94 | 92/85 | Maryland Terrapins | 3-9 | 85 |
95 | 109/114 | South Alabama Jaguars | 5-7 | 100 |
96 | 87/80 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 3-9 | 95 |
97 | 117/118 | Rice Owls | 5-7 | 104 |
98 | 116/117 | Old Dominion Monarchs | 5-7 | 107 |
99 | 81/72 | Boston College Eagles | 3-9 | 94 |
100 | 108/112 | Texas-El Paso Miners | 5-7 | 111 |
101 | 103/105 | Buffalo Bulls | 5-7 | 98 |
102 | 101/99 | Oregon State Beavers | 2-10 | 101 |
103 | 97/97 | Troy Trojans | 4-8 | 99 |
104 | 94/94 | Purdue Boilermakers | 2-10 | 97 |
105 | 113/109 | Tulane Green Wave | 3-9 | 115 |
106 | 114/113 | Idaho Vandals | 4-8 | 108 |
107 | 106/101 | SMU Mustangs | 2-10 | 106 |
108 | 104/107 | Ball State Cardinals | 3-9 | 105 |
109 | 110/106 | UNLV Rebels | 3-9 | 113 |
110 | 100/104 | Massachusetts Minutemen | 3-9 | 109 |
111 | 111/108 | FIU Panthers | 5-7 | 102 |
112 | 115/115 | Kent State Golden Flashes | 3-9 | 114 |
113 | 112/110 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 3-9 | 112 |
114 | 98/100 | Florida Atlantic Owls | 3-9 | 103 |
115 | 120/119 | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | 3-9 | 117 |
116 | 127/126 | Hawaii Warriors | 3-10 | 123 |
117 | 118/120 | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | 4-8 | 110 |
118 | 107/111 | Miami-Ohio Redhawks | 3-9 | 116 |
119 | 122/116 | Kansas Jayhawks | 0-12 | 122 |
120 | 119/122 | New Mexico State Aggies | 3-9 | 121 |
121 | 124/125 | Texas State Bobcats | 3-9 | 119 |
122 | 105/102 | Wyoming Cowboys | 2-10 | 120 |
123 | 125/127 | ULM Warhawks | 2-11 | 124 |
124 | 102/103 | Army Black Knights | 2-10 | 118 |
125 | 121/121 | North Texas Mean Green | 1-11 | 125 |
126 | 128/128 | Charlotte 49ers | 2-10 | 128 |
127 | 123/124 | Eastern Michigan Eagles | 1-11 | 126 |
128 | 126/123 | UCF Knights | 0-12 | 127 |