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The Book 2015: Week 3

TCU back to the top spot as the Buckeyes "struggle"?? Here comes Ole Miss yet again. BC up a few notches, still below where most of the computer polls rank them. Eagles a double digit dog vs Noles on Friday.

TCU dance teams shakes in disbelief as the Frogs ascend to #1
TCU dance teams shakes in disbelief as the Frogs ascend to #1
Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

I've said for years that it all comes out in the wash and I am sure it will do so again this year, but at this point, playing and beating inferior opponents certainly looks like the tact to take in our poll as TCU leap-Frogged Ohio State to recapture the top spot for week 3.

The Toads are #1 in both the Book and Phil Steele versions as our top five teams are identical on both sides of the aisle, with TCU followed by Ohio State, Ole Miss, Alabama and USC.   The Massey composite rankings don't necessarily agree, keeping the Bucks at #1, with Alabama, TCU, Georgia and Michigan State rounding out its top five. Personally, not sure if I agree wholeheartedly with either at this point, but I just enter numbers!

BC is up slightly this week, moving to 62nd in the Phil Steele poll and still all the way down at 72rd in the Book.  Even the worst Massey rating for the Eagles was only 75th, so these are both toward the bottom end of the scale.  Overall, the composite puts BC at 52nd, for the 52 rankings that have been submitted.

In the ACC, it is Georgia Tech listed as tops by both polls.  There is some discrepancy toward the middle of the pack with a fairly messy jumble between spots 4 and 10.  BC comes in at 12/13.

With that as a backdrop, it should come as no surprise that the Eagles are a fairly solid dog at home against Florida State on Friday night.  The Book making FSU a 13.3 point favorite and Phil Steele all the way up at 15.4 which is about what Jeff Sagarin calls for as well.

In the battle for magazine supremacy, this week was all Steele as it finished at 56% for the week in comparison to the Book's 48%.  For the season, Steele now has a five game lead.

Enjoy your football weekend and Go Eagles!

THE NATIONAL RANKINGS 1-128
GP PS TEAM REC MASSEY
1 1 TCU Horned Frogs 2-0 3
2 2 Ohio State Buckeyes 2-0 1
3 3 Ole Miss Rebels 2-0 7
4 4 Alabama Crimson Tide 2-0 2
5 5 USC Trojans 2-0 8
6 14 Oklahoma Sooners 2-0 15
7 6 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 2-0 10
8 7 Georgia Bulldogs 2-0 4
9 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2-0 17
10 9 Michigan State Spartans 2-0 5
11 10 Florida State Seminoles 2-0 9
12 13 Texas A&M Aggies 2-0 16
13 16 UCLA Bruins 2-0 11
14 15 LSU Tigers 1-0 14
15 8 Baylor Bears 2-0 6
16 17 Wisconsin Badgers 1-1 18
17 21 Auburn Tigers 2-0 19
18 12 Oregon Ducks 1-1 13
19 18 Clemson Tigers 2-0 12
20 41 Memphis Tigers 2-0 32
21 19 Tennessee Volunteers 1-1 27
22 24 BYU Cougars 2-0 24
23 23 Utah Utes 2-0 23
24 47 Florida Gators 2-0 31
25 20 Stanford Cardinal 1-1 28
26 36 Temple Owls 2-0 44
27 34 N.C. State Wolfpack 2-0 41
28 25 Kansas State Wildcats 2-0 21
29 33 Duke Blue Devils 2-0 34
30 32 Arizona Wildcats 2-0 26
31 50 Kentucky Wildcats 2-0 50
32 29 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 1-1 25
33 37 California Golden Bears 2-0 43
34 26 Northwestern Wildcats 2-0 39
35 22 Arkansas Razorbacks 1-1 29
36 35 Texas Tech Red Raiders 2-0 54
37 38 Michigan Wolverines 1-1 46
38 28 Illinois Fighting Illini 2-0 49
39 27 Missouri Tigers 2-0 20
40 40 Iowa Hawkeyes 2-0 45
41 31 Boise State Broncos 1-1 30
42 53 Pittsburgh Panthers 2-0 56
43 42 West Virginia Mountaineers 2-0 22
44 39 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2-0 35
45 30 Virginia Tech Hokies 1-1 40
46 49 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1-1 33
47 44 Miami-Florida Hurricanes 2-0 38
48 58 Penn State Nittany Lions 1-1 62
49 60 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2-0 52
50 45 Arizona State Sun Devils 1-1 36
51 43 Minnesota Golden Gophers 1-1 37
52 46 Washington Huskies 1-1 48
53 61 Houston Cougars 2-0 51
54 54 South Carolina Gamecocks 1-1 47
55 57 North Carolina Tar Heels 1-1 64
56 51 Toledo Rockets 1-0 42
57 64 Air Force Falcons 2-0 59
58 59 Louisville Cardinals 0-2 55
59 48 Texas Longhorns 1-1 57
60 70 Navy Midshipmen 1-0 63
61 68 Ohio University Bobcats 2-0 68
62 72 Bowling Green Falcons 1-1 76
63 69 Purdue Boilermakers 1-1 85
64 63 Cincinnati Bearcats 1-1 61
65 74 Syracuse Orange 2-0 70
66 55 Virginia Cavaliers 0-2 69
67 66 Marshall Thundering Herd 1-1 58
68 76 Northern Illinois Huskies 2-0 65
69 56 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1-1 60
70 52 Colorado Buffaloes 1-1 84
71 81 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 2-0 88
72 62 Boston College Eagles 2-0 53
73 85 Georgia Southern Eagles 1-1 72
74 73 Vanderbilt Commodores 0-2 87
75 67 Utah State Aggies 1-1 67
76 87 Colorado State Rams 1-1 66
77 78 Iowa St. Cyclones 1-1 86
78 65 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 1-1 73
79 82 East Carolina Pirates 1-1 71
80 93 Western Michigan Broncos 0-2 90
81 84 Rice Owls 1-1 78
82 71 Washington State Cougars 1-1 83
83 92 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 1-1 75
84 91 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1-1 96
85 77 San Diego State Aztecs 1-1 80
86 80 Maryland Terrapins 1-1 82
87 79 UCF Knights 0-2 81
88 90 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 1-1 77
89 107 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 1-1 108
90 89 South Florida Bulls 1-1 92
91 97 San Jose State Spartans 1-1 102
92 101 Nevada Wolf Pack 1-1 93
93 98 Arkansas State Red Wolves 0-2 94
94 83 Appalachian St. Mountaineers 1-1 79
95 105 Fresno State Bulldogs 1-1 95
96 100 Central Michigan Chippewas 1-1 97
97 88 Hawaii Warriors 1-1 91
98 102 Buffalo Bulls 1-1 101
99 108 ULM Warhawks 1-1 104
100 106 Akron Zips 0-2 114
101 99 Texas State Bobcats 1-1 98
102 96 Ball State Cardinals 1-1 99
103 86 Oregon State Beavers 1-1 89
104 110 New Mexico Lobos 1-1 106
105 94 FIU Panthers 1-1 103
106 116 Troy Trojans 1-1 116
107 75 Indiana Hoosiers 2-0 74
108 95 SMU Mustangs 1-1 109
109 103 Connecticut Huskies 2-0 105
110 113 Kansas Jayhawks 0-2 113
111 109 Massachusetts Minutemen 0-1 119
112 117 Texas-El Paso Miners 0-2 115
113 111 Florida Atlantic Owls 0-2 111
114 112 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 0-2 110
115 126 Charlotte 49ers 2-0 107
116 114 Old Dominion Monarchs 2-0 100
117 123 Eastern Michigan Eagles 1-1 121
118 115 North Texas Mean Green 0-1 120
119 119 UNLV Rebels 0-2 122
120 122 Miami-Ohio Redhawks 1-1 123
121 104 Kent State Golden Flashes 1-1 118
122 120 Army Black Knights 0-2 124
123 121 South Alabama Jaguars 1-1 112
124 127 Georgia State Panthers 1-1 125
125 125 Idaho Vandals 0-2 126
126 128 New Mexico State Aggies 0-2 128
127 118 Tulane Green Wave 0-2 117
128 124 Wyoming Cowboys 0-2 127

THE ACC RANKINGS
GP PS TEAM REC MASSEY
1 1 Georgia Tech 2-0 10
2 2 Florida State 2-0 9
3 3 Clemson 2-0 12
4 6 North Carolina State 2-0 41
5 5 Duke 2-0 34
6 8 Pittsburgh 2-0 56
7 4 Virginia Tech 1-1 40
8 7 Miami 2-0 38
9 10 North Carolina 1-1 64
10 11 Louisville 0-2 55
11 13 Syracuse 2-0 70
12 9 Virginia 0-2 69
13 12 Boston College 2-0 53
14 14 Wake Forest 1-1 96

Last weeks head to head results:

GamePlan (The Book):  24-26-1 .480, 0 games identical to Vegas spread.  Season to date:  43-44-1 .489, 2 games identical
Phil Steele:  28-22-1 .559, 0 games identical to Vegas spread.  Season to date:  49-40-1 .550, 0 games identical

The Vegas spread used is the Danny Sheridan opening line.

NATIONAL/ACC/BC OPPONENT SPREADS
FAVORITE GP/PS SPREADS UNDERDOG
Clemson 4.4/9.8 at Louisville
Florida State 13.3/15.4 at Boston College
at Michigan State 17.7/25.1 Air Force
at Texas A&M 26.6/35.5 Nevada
at North Carolina 0.7/+3.5 Illinois
Wake Forest 11.2/11.1 at Army
at Oklahoma 24.6/28.4 Tulsa
at Syracuse 13.0/13.3 Central Michigan
at Duke 3.8/1.6 Northwestern
at Oregon 36.9/51.1 Georgia State
at Kansas State 14.4/13.4 Louisiana Tech
Memphis 6.0/7.8 at Bowling Green
at Wisconsin 30.2/40.1 Troy
at Ohio State 26.5/40.2 Northern Illinois
Virginia Tech 2.3/9.9 at Purdue
at Notre Dame 4.6/1.0 Georgia Tech
at Miami 3.7/5.4 Nebraska
at LSU 7.1/9.3 Auburn
at Georgia 18.2/23.9 South Carolina
at Arkansas 4.7/8.6 Texas Tech
North Carolina State 20.8/23.1 at Old Dominion
at Iowa 4.8/8.7 Pittsburgh
at USC 14.1/14.0 Stanford
at TCU 37.6/46.4 SMU
at Alabama 5.4/5.6 Mississippi
at UCLA 8.0/9.2 BYU
Utah 14.4/22.2 at Fresno State
at Virginia 18.2/TBD William & Mary
at Tennessee 42.9/TBD Western Carolina