Jeff: 1-4, 8-12 overall ATS
Brian: 3-2, 7-13 overall
2013 Standings below: (All-Time Standings here)
Brian: Can't bring myself to take BC and I'm not going to pick against them. I really have no feel for how Saturday's game is going to go.
Troy Trojans at Duke Blue Devils (-11) - The good news is that the Blue Devils offense put up 55 points last weekend against Pitt. The bad news is the Blue Devils surrendered 58 in a loss to the Panthers. Troy started the season 2-0 with wins over UAB (34-31 OT) and Savannah State (66-3) but has lost two straight road games to Arkansas State (41-34) and Mississippi State (62-7). The schedule lights considerably for the Trojans in the coming week, but I like Duke to hand Troy its third straight road loss by winning fairly easily.
Connecticut Huskies (+1) at Buffalo Bulls - It's gotten so bad for our American Athletic Conference neighbors to the south that UConn goes into a road game against SUNY-Buffalo as a 1-point underdog. This line has moved from UConn -2.5 to +1, which seems a bit strange, but some familiar faces -- LB Graham Stewart and WR Shakim Phillips -- are questionable for Saturday's game. I still think there's enough talent for UConn to win here comfortably. Buffalo's lone win on the year is a 26-23 5OT victory over FCS Stony Brook, while UConn is still searching for its first win of the season.
Arizona Wildcats (+10.5) at Washington Huskies - We don't know a whole lot about the 3-0 Wildcats as Arizona has run through a cupcake-y gauntlet of Northern Arizona (35-0), UNLV (58-13) and UTSA (38-13) through the first four weeks of the season. We do know that the Wildcats have one of the nation's most prolific run games powered by junior RB Ka'Deem Carey. Similarly, Washington's run game has rolled up comparable numbers -- 911 yards, 9 TDs -- in the Huskies' first three games. I'm expecting a close, single score game here and wouldn't be surprised if Arizona pulls off the road upset here.
USC Trojans (+5.5) at Arizona St. Sun Devils - The Sun Devils can put up points, but ASU's O-Line was manhandled by the bigger, more physical Cardinal front last weekend. I expect the USC front seven to have similar success against the Arizona State offensive line. USC has played like ass against everyone not named Boston College so far this season. Is this the week that Lane Kiffin figures it out and earns a big road win to pace the Trojans in the Pac-12 South?
Stanford Cardinal (-10) at Washington St. Cougars in Seattle, Wa. - As mentioned above, the Cardinal thoroughly dominated a ranked Arizona State squad in the trenches last week, jumping out to a 38-7 lead before calling off the dogs and throwing in the second string offense. Washington State is basically a poor man's Arizona State. If this game was in Pullman, I'd be a little more concerned, but with the game in Seattle, I like Stanford big. Washington State is a perfect 4-0-0 ATS this year and is 5-0-0 ATS in its last five games. Expect that streak to end here.
Miami Hurricanes (-20) at South Florida Bulls - Miami has looked strong this season while USF has really struggled. Miami should easily be able to keep the USF offense in check so the question will be if they can put up enough points to cover the 20. USF is not as bad as Savannah State who Miami put 77 on last week.
Florida St. Seminoles at Boston College Eagles (+24) - Why not? I fully expect BC to play a lot better at home this season than on the road and that should be enough for BC to keep it within 24. On the road, the line would have to be 35+ for me to touch the Eagles.
LSU Tigers (+2.5) at Georgia Bulldogs - The ACC would love to see Georgia win this game and go on to win the SEC this year after Clemson opened the season with the big win over them, but I do not see that happening. Georgia has suffered too many injuries and will not run the table from here on out.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Clemson Tigers (-29) - This would be a good game for the Tigers to bounce back after some struggles against NC State. They should be looking for not only a win but style points.
Texas A&M Aggies (-16) at Arkansas Razorbacks - This could be a blowout. Did you hear Arkansas was like the first SEC ever to lose in the state of New Jersey when they lost to Rutgers? Texas A&M meanwhile is one of the best teams in the country. Not going to be close.