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Boston College Basketball: Projecting Next Year's Starting Five

Do I stay or do I go now? (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Do I stay or do I go now? (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
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With the departures of Trapani, Southern, Raji, Dunn, Paris, Kowalski, Cahill and Mosakowski, the Eagles are set to lose 62.4 percent of their total offensive output from this season. Donahue will be left with just five players who logged minutes in 2010-11 -- Reggie Jackson (34.1 min/game) ... long drop off, then ... Danny Rubin (16.8), Gabe Moton (14.8), Dallas Elmore (14.5) and Peter Rehnquist (1.8). 

It goes without saying that next year's men's basketball roster will look completely different from this year's roster.

Next season, BC will add Oregon transfer Matt Humphrey to the list of active roster players. Humphrey was a member of the team this year but sat out the season per NCAA transfer rules. Humphrey is strictly a 2-guard, and is a bit of a streaky shooter that loves to shoot threes. Sounds perfect for Donahue's system, and I'm sure the streakiness in his shot isn't anything that the Don can't work on in the offseason. Just put him on the Biko Paris off-season practice regime.

Donahue has also signed six recruits to the Class of 2011, including PG Jordan Daniels, SG Lonnie Jackson, SF Eddie Odio, PFs Ryan Anderson and Dennis Clifford and C Kyle Caudill. All six figure to get a bunch of playing time right away.

So what will next year's roster look like?

If Jackson doesn't jump early, BC's starting five might look like this:

G - Reggie Jackson (Sr.) - 18.2 PPG, 4.5 APG, 4.3 RPG  
G - Matthew Humphrey (Jr.) - 5.4 PPG, 0.6 APG, 2.5 RPG (2009-10 Oregon stats) 
G - Gabe Moton (So.) - 2.5 PPG, 1.0 APG, 1.3 RPG 
F - Ryan Anderson (Fr.) or Dennis Clifford (Fr.)
C - Kyle Caudill (Fr.)

I suppose you could interchange Moton for Elmore as one of the starting guards, but Donahue seemed to favor Moton over Elmore down the stretch (Moton averaged 19 minutes a game over BC's final 10 games, while Elmore averaged only 9 over the same span). Moton also seems to have more upside simply due to the fact that he's an underclassman.

I'm also not sure whether Donahue will go back to Danny Rubin or go with one of the freshmen.  

If Jackson does jump early, roster decisions get a bit more complicated. The most pressing question becomes who runs point? Would Donahue throw incoming recruit Jordan Daniels to the fire, or ask Moton, Elmore or Humphrey to run the offense? My guess is he'd make a clean break from last year's roster and start Daniels right away.

The starting lineup then becomes:

G - Jordan Daniels (Fr.)
G - Matthew Humphrey (Jr.)
G - Gabe Moton (So.)
F - Ryan Anderson (Fr.)
C - Kyle Caudill (Fr.)

Whether Jackson stays or goes doesn't even seem to be the most pressing issue on next year's roster when you look at all the potential new faces in the starting five. If Jackson comes back, Donahue still will give a lot of minutes to 1-2 freshmen and a transfer. If Jackson goes, it could be as many as 3 freshman starters and Humphrey.

Thoughts on next year's roster?