ACC Football Preseason Media Poll Dudes And Duds

USA TODAY Sports

A look at the ACC's preseason media "dudes" and duds.

From the stats crazy enough to be true department ...

With the release of the 2013 ACC Football preseason media poll, we now have nine years of preseason media polls since the division split. I wanted to take a closer look at the last nine years of media polls to see which programs have been media darlings (Florida State and Virginia Tech) and those which, well, haven't (Maryland and Duke).

Here's the last nine years of polls according to predicted finish:


Program Division 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Avg
Florida St. Seminoles Atlantic 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1.33
Clemson Tigers Atlantic 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 4 2.11
Boston College Eagles Atlantic 7 5 4 3 6 4 2 3 2 4.00
N.C. State Wolfpack Atlantic 3 3 3 4 3 6 6 5 3 4.00
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Atlantic 4 4 6 5 4 2 4 6 6 4.56
Maryland Terrapins Atlantic 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5.11

In all but two seasons (2013 and 2008), Florida State has been picked first in the ACC's Atlantic Division. Clemson was picked first in those years. The Seminoles are predictably way out in front of everyone else in the media's preseason polls.

N.C. State and Boston College finish tied for third in the division. BC's predicted finishes have gone from middle of the pack to bottom of the barrel over the years, while N.C. State has held relatively steady at third in the division in the years after 2006.

Wake Forest averages 4.56, placing the Deacons fifth in the Atlantic. And there's Maryland, bringing up the rear in the Atlantic Division with a 5.11 average.


Program Division 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Avg
Virginia Tech Hokies Coastal 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1.22
Miami Hurricanes Coastal 1 5 2 2 4 3 3 1 2 2.56
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Coastal 4 2 4 3 2 4 2 3 4 3.11
North Carolina Tar Heels Coastal 3 3 3 4 3 2 5 5 5 3.67
Virginia Cavaliers Coastal 6 4 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 4.67
Duke Blue Devils Coastal 7 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6.00

The Coastal Division has been a little more open in terms of the media's preseason vote, though it's the Hokies that have played foil to the Seminoles in the Coastal Division. The Hokies have been picked to finish first in seven of the nine Coastal Division preseason polls, with the exception of 2006 (2nd) and 2013 (2nd). Miami was picked to finish first in both of those years.

Miami is in second in the Coastal with an average place of 2.56, followed by Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Virginia and Duke.

The cumulative number of votes breaks the Boston College-N.C. State tie in the Atlantic, with the Wolfpack edging the Eagles 2,535 to 2,394. Note that totaling the number of votes places more weight on recent polls as the number of media members voting in the poll has increased substantially over the years.


Program Division 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Total
Florida St. Seminoles Atlantic 731 543 420 565 479 265 423 373 522 4,321
Clemson Tigers Atlantic 815 470 286 479 387 383 332 322 255 3,729
N.C. State Wolfpack Atlantic 490 402 270 283 364 112 144 124 346 2,535
Boston College Eagles Atlantic 211 181 224 389 145 154 363 269 458 2,394
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Atlantic 392 241 80 203 295 304 325 116 119 2,075
Maryland Terrapins Atlantic 373 148 221 139 157 147 156 163 222 1,726

In the Coastal, the cumulative number of votes follows the average predicted order of finish: 1) Virginia Tech 2) Miami 3) Georgia Tech 4) North Carolina 5) Virginia 6) Duke. ACC Coastal Division equilibrium?


Votes Division 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Total
Virginia Tech Hokies Coastal 654 558 421 532 512 383 491 316 517 4,384
Miami Hurricanes Coastal 736 245 328 444 282 253 356 374 487 3,505
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Coastal 522 421 226 408 415 195 367 279 281 3,114
North Carolina Tar Heels Coastal 649 341 287 379 350 288 188 165 197 2,844
Virginia Cavaliers Coastal 230 326 132 126 148 161 255 166 356 1,900
Duke Blue Devils Coastal 228 104 96 169 120 85 86 65 99 1,052

Finally, we get to the first place votes, where Maryland (and Duke) are the only two programs in the conference to have never received a first place vote since division play began.


First Place Votes 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 Total
Virginia Tech Hokies 27 83 66 62 78 58 77 10 62 523
Florida St. Seminoles 18 72 65 78 56 1 37 49 65 441
Clemson Tigers 102 17 4 14 59 8 13 1 218
Miami Hurricanes 65 4 20 1 2 52 29 173
Boston College Eagles 2 4 25 3 24 58
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 6 10 1 11 9 1 4 3 45
North Carolina Tar Heels 22 2 5 4 33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 7 5 13 25
N.C. State Wolfpack 5 10 2 17
Virginia Cavaliers 1 1 2
Maryland Terrapins 0
Syracuse Orange N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0
Duke Blue Devils 0
Pittsburgh Panthers N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0

Here, Boston College has fared a bit better than N.C. State having picked up 58 first-place votes over the years (compared to N.C. State's 17). As to be expected, Florida State and Virginia Tech are far out ahead of everyone else, followed by Clemson and Miami, respectively. But BC is right behind those top four, followed by Georgia Tech (45), North Carolina (33), Wake Forest (25), N.C. State (17) and Virginia (2).

Expectations are rock-bottom for the Eagles this year, but that hasn't always been the case. BC has actually fared quite well in the preseason media poll in recent history, even picking up more than a few first-place votes along the way.

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