Is Ryan Day's offense too predictable?
Over the course of the season, I've started to notice several obvious tendencies in BC's offense. The tendencies that have stood out to me started after the Florida State game and the integration of Myles Willis into the offense. I'm not talking about BC's heavy reliance on the run, either. I've been able to accurately predict what kind of play BC will run based on the sub packages that are sent in and out. I've been able to pick up on these subs in three games. How opposing defenses haven't noticed the offense's tendencies is a mystery to me. I think the team that has done the best job so far was Clemson. Sooner or later, however, a team will do their homework and the offense will come to a grinding halt.
An extremely obvious formation that BC runs constantly is the stacked I-formation. Rettig is under center, Sinkovec is behind, and in the very back is Andre Williams. I think everybody who has ever watched football can predict this play: RUN. Obviously, the immortal power of Andre Williams turns this predictability into solid, consistent production. However, I can't imagine defenses would be confused by this look. BC also runs the ball in an offset I-form! Ace set, 2 TE motion I-formation set, and a few others that I don't recognize. If I were a defense, I would honestly put all eleven defenders in the box. It's going to be a run, so force Rettig to audible. Why defenses haven't picked up on this I don't know.
Could passing situations be more bloody obvious? I distinctly remember this past weekend being able to say, "This one's a pass" to my son and sure enough, Rettig stepped back to fire away. If I was an opposing defensive coordinator, I would be licking my chops with the passing game. One receiver, a quarterback who is shaky, and an easy formation. What do you need to look for? Andre comes out, and Willis and Dudeck come in. About 99% of the time it's a pass. Watch it against NC State. New Mexico State won't be a fair test. Trust me, it's easy to catch on.
I'm becoming very concerned about this BC offense the more I watch it. Obviously, any really serious problems have been avoided so far, but I fear that a defensive coordinator from either NC State, Maryland, or Syracuse will come out and dominate the game. It won't matter how good Williams is. If they're one step ahead of BC, then it's over as soon as the ball is kicked off. I'm actually one step ahead of this offense. If I am, how can a real coordinator who does this for a living not be? I'm hoping that it stays that way. The predictability could come back to bite.