Over/Under: 2012 College Football Win Totals

Brian: About a week or so ago, the online betting website 5Dimes released college football win totals for the 2012 season. Boston College's win total came in at a bowl bubblicious 5.5 wins. There's a rather healthy payoff should the Eagles wind up bowl eligible (+175) with the smart money on BC coming in below 5.5 wins (-245).

Here are the early odds in the ACC (over/under, over odds, under odds).

Atlantic Division

Florida St. Seminoles -- Over 9.5 (-170), Under 9.5 (+150)
Clemson Tigers -- Over 8.5 (-155) Under 8.5 (+135)
N.C. State Wolfpack -- Over 7.5 (-130) Under 7.5 (+110)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -- Over 5.5 (+130) Under 5.5 (-170)
Boston College Eagles -- Over 5.5 (+175) Under 5.5 (-245)
Maryland Terrapins -- Over 4.5 (+110) Under 4.5 (-150)

Coastal Division

Virginia Tech Hokies -- Over 9.5 (+140) Under 9.5 (-160)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -- Over 8 (+125) Under 8 (-145)
North Carolina Tar Heels -- Over 7.5 (-135) Under 7.5 (+115)
Miami Hurricanes -- Over 7 (+130) Under 7 (-150)
Virginia Cavaliers -- Over 7 (+150) Under 7 (-170)
Duke Blue Devils -- Over 3.5 (-190) Under 3.5 (+150)

If you had to bet the far on one Atlantic Division team and one Coastal Division team, which of these early bets are you taking, and why?

Jeff: I do like the over for BC but I do not want to bet the entire farm on BC making it back to a bowl game this season. So I turn to Wake Forest since I think NC State, Clemson and FSU have fairly reasonable lines. Looking at Wake's schedule, they have 2 wins, Liberty and Duke. Then they have several toss up games which probably includes BC in reality and then several losses. Even though I like Grobe, I didn't see anythign out of Wake last season that makes me think they will be as good this season. They seemed to get some breaks in some games last year and they were not able to be competitive against Vanderbilt or win their bowl game. So I'm taking Wake under 5.5 wins.

In the Coastal Division, hello Miami! I will be the farm all day on under seven wins. How could I possibly do any worse than push that bet? They will not be able to go better than 2-2 out of conference this season with games at Kansas State and at Notre Dame in addition to their home game against USF. In conference, yes, they always play Duke but their would be toss-up type games against Virginia and Georgia Tech are both on the road and then they'll be large underdogs against Florida State and Virginia Tech. Miami will have to beat BC in their opener to have a chance at 7 wins and they are only a 1.5 pt favorite in that one. Miami under is where the smart money is this season.

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