MIAMI GARDENS, FL - NOVEMBER 25: Rolandan Finch #28 of the Boston College Eagles rushes during a game against the Miami Hurricanes at Sun Life Stadium on November 25, 2011 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
SB Nation's Bud Elliott take a look at Vegas over/under win totals in the ACC, helping you to pick which side of the line to take for all 12 programs. Here's Bud's advice on what to do with Boston College's over/under 5.5 wins bet from 5Dimes this season.
Boston College had bad injury luck and nearly everything go wrong in 2011. I project the Eagles will be better in 2012 simply by being more experienced and sustaining fewer injuries.
The schedule could also help the Eagles to build confidence. Opening with Miami, Maine, Northwestern, Clemson and at Army should yield three wins, which would get the Eagles half way to their goal of bowl eligibility. If they get four, they will be in great shape.
Finding the other three is a bit trickier, and it's the reason for these plus odds. Maryland, at Wake and at N.C. State offer the best chance. If BC can't sweep those, it will need an upset of at Florida State (very unlikely), at Georgia Tech (not as unlikely), Virginia Tech (doubtful), or Notre Dame (there's a chance).
With (+150) odds on something that I view as a little better than a coin flip, there is clear value in this play.
Unfortunately, Bud penned this article before news got out that WR Bobby Swigert will miss the first 3-4 games of the season and no longer recommends this bet. Drats.
Make sure to head over to SBNation.com to check Bud's analysis for the other 11 ACC programs, including BC's season opening opponent. Made me feel a bit better about the opener which is only a week away.
Poll
Which bet you taking? (2012 regular season wins, conference championships and bowl games do not apply)
Boston College total wins over 5½ (+115) (98 votes)
Boston College total wins under 5½ (-155) (76 votes)
174 total votes
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