Boston College Football Will Benefit From Better Luck In 2012

College football prognosticator Phil Steele is out with his latest Phil Steele-esque table. This time around, Steele takes a look at 2011 starts lost due to injury. As the theory goes, teams that were hit hard by the injury bug the year before generally have a better year the following season.

Just how well does this trend play out? Apparently quite well.

In a study over the last 8 years, my research shows that if a team had 32 or more starts lost to injury the prior season, they improved or had the same record the next year on 62 out of 76 occasions for an 81.6% success rate. How about teams that are really banged up? Well from 2001-2005 12 teams went through seasons of having 40 or more combined starts lost and ALL 12 had the same or better record the next season. It surprises me that 17 teams met that criteria in 2006-'07 but only 7 had a stronger record the next year and 9 had a weaker record.

That's good news for Boston College football in 2012. The Eagles lost 55 starts due to injury last season, the second highest total in the nation (and behind only Maryland's 59). The bad news? 2012 opponents Maryland, Miami and Florida State also made the Top 10 nationally in this category.

Here's how Boston College stacks up against the rest of the ACC:

Rank Program Off Starts Lost Def Starts Lost Total Starts Lost Starts Lost %
1 Maryland Terrapins 32 27 59 22.35%
2 Boston College Eagles 24 31 55 20.83%
8 Florida St. Seminoles 42 4 46 16.08%
10 Miami Hurricanes 12 30 42 15.91%
27 N.C. State Wolfpack 3 28 31 10.84%
43 North Carolina Tar Heels 3 23 26 9.09%
45 Virginia Tech Hokies 1 25 25 8.12%
55 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 11 11 22 7.69%
62 Duke Blue Devils 7 14 21 7.95%
98 Clemson Tigers 10 2 12 3.9%
111 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 5 4 9 3.15%
121 Virginia Cavaliers 1 3 4 1.4%

In non-conference play, Army ranked 7th nationally (17.32%), Notre Dame 68th (6.99%) and Northwestern 85th (5.24%).

Here's hoping that a healthier Boston College football team in 2012 leads to a few more Ws.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join BC Interruption

You must be a member of BC Interruption to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at BC Interruption. You should read them.

Join BC Interruption

You must be a member of BC Interruption to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at BC Interruption. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker