Pomeroy Has Boston College At No. 175
by Brian Favat on Nov 7, 2011 12:00 PM EST
in Boston College Basketball
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PrintLast week, the most respected and referenced college hoops rankings, KenPom.com, published its 2011-12 projections. The site has Boston College at No. 175, comfortably between the WAC's Idaho and the Big 12's Texas Tech. Pomeroy projects a 10-18 (4-12 ACC) season for the Eagles.
Here's how Pomeroy sees Boston College's season playing out:
| Date | Opponent | Result | Location | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 14 | 294 | New Hampshire Wildcats | W, 65-55 | 60 | 84% | Home |
| Fri Nov 18 | 209 | Holy Cross Crusaders | L, 68-66 | 63 | 42% | Away |
| Mon Nov 21 | 185 | UMass Minutemen | W, 68-64 | 65 | 66% | Home |
| Thu Nov 24 | 62 | Saint Louis Billikens | L, 66-59 | 62 | 25% | Neutral |
| Wed Nov 30 | 114 | Penn St. Nittany Lions | W, 62-61 | 57 | 50% | Home |
| Sat Dec 3 | 141 | Boston U. Terriers | W, 64-62 | 61 | 57% | Home |
| Thu Dec 8 | 112 | Providence Friars | L, 79-71 | 69 | 24% | Away |
| Sun Dec 11 | 150 | Stony Brook Seawolves | W, 63-60 | 60 | 59% | Home |
| Sun Dec 18 | 318 | Bryant Bulldogs | W, 74-61 | 63 | 88% | Home |
| Wed Dec 21 | 219 | Sacred Heart Pioneers | W, 71-65 | 64 | 72% | Home |
| Thu Dec 29 | 51 | Harvard Crimson | L, 69-64 | 61 | 33% | Home |
| Mon Jan 2 | 180 | Rhode Island Rams | W, 68-65 | 64 | 65% | Home |
| Sat Jan 7 | 3 | North Carolina Tar Heels | L, 84-61 | 68 | 3% | Away |
| Thu Jan 12 | 35 | Clemson Tigers | L, 68-61 | 62 | 25% | Home |
| Sat Jan 14 | 52 | Virginia Tech Hokies | L, 67-62 | 62 | 33% | Home |
| Thu Jan 19 | 65 | N.C. State Wolfpack | L, 74-63 | 64 | 16% | Away |
| Sat Jan 21 | 156 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | W, 71-68 | 67 | 60% | Home |
| Thu Jan 26 | 88 | Virginia Cavaliers | L, 63-56 | 58 | 20% | Away |
| Sun Jan 29 | 25 | Miami Hurricanes | L, 71-64 | 62 | 23% | Home |
| Wed Feb 1 | 65 | N.C. State Wolfpack | L, 70-66 | 64 | 38% | Home |
| Sat Feb 4 | 85 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L, 71-62 | 66 | 20% | Away |
| Wed Feb 8 | 28 | Florida St. Seminoles | L, 68-61 | 65 | 23% | Home |
| Sun Feb 12 | 52 | Virginia Tech Hokies | L, 70-59 | 62 | 14% | Away |
| Thu Feb 16 | 47 | Maryland Terrapins | L, 79-66 | 68 | 13% | Away |
| Sun Feb 19 | 4 | Duke Blue Devils | L, 77-62 | 66 | 11% | Home |
| Sat Feb 25 | 156 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L, 72-67 | 67 | 32% | Away |
| Wed Feb 29 | 85 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L, 67-65 | 66 | 44% | Home |
| Sat Mar 3 | 25 | Miami Hurricanes | L, 76-60 | 62 | 9% | Away |
Look at the positives here. Umm ... Bryant must really suck? And, hey, we have an 11 percent chance of knocking off Duke at home! That said, the Eagles do have a 0.9 percent chance of going winless in the ACC. And may or may not lose their final 11 games in conference play. So there's that, too.
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I believe Pomeroy adds up the percentages to get the overall W-L total. So while the individual games total 9-19 (1-15), the cumulative percentages add up to 10-18 (4-12).
Editor, BC Interruption
That sounds like a pretty reasonable record given their inexperience.
Writer at BC Interruption SBN's Boston College Eagles blog
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Tough Team to Predict
With so many new faces playing on this roster, all these predictions are shots in the dark. I’m optimistic about this team and really excited to see what new guys step up this year.
We’ll know a lot more after the initial games and the early season Tourney they play in. That being said, should be one of the most fun BC teams to watch in a while.
if we press a lot
we can be very disruptive and win some more games – plenty of teams have no idea how really counter a consistently pressing squad. No idea if donahue is looking to do that. I recall Pitino (of all people) did it with a pretty poor Knicks team and got them to the playoffs (of course, they DID have Patrick Ewing).
Dennis Clifford will have to bulk up a little bit to get to Ewing’s size. That’s a lot of time in the weight room and mozzarella sticks from Late Night.
Writer at BC Interruption SBN's Boston College Eagles blog
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I Agree
Pretty hard to make accurate predictions with very little data on which to base them. If this is a motivated group (and it should be), they could surprise a lot of people!
Predictions vs. UNH?
Whats everyones predictions for BC first game vs. UNH?
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