Given BC's 6-4 loss against Virginia on Wednesday in the first game of the ACC Baseball Championship, BC is in a tight spot. If the Eagles plan on crashing the championship game on Sunday, they will have to win their next two games and get a little help from both the Seminoles and Hurricanes.
The only way BC can advance and win Division A is to win today against Miami and tomorrow against Florida State, and hope the Cavaliers drop their last two games against those two teams. The Eagles put themselves in a similar situation last year, dropping the first game of the 2009 Championship to Florida State before rattling off wins against Georgia Tech and Miami. The problem was that FSU only dropped 1 of their final 2 pool play games, winning the head-to-head tiebreaker over BC and advancing to the title game.
Is the chain of events that could put BC into the title game impossible? No. Improbable? Probably.
BC's NCAA Tournament hopes were also dealt a serious blow with the loss to Virginia. The Eagles are now just two games over .500 (29-27), and have lost 8 of their last 10 ACC games. Despite having one of the toughest schedules in the country, BC's resume looks sketchy at best compared to other conference teams on the bubble like N.C. State, who upset Clemson last night 13-8 in Division B play, or even North Carolina, who stayed home from this year's ACC Baseball Championship but still might make the Tournament field.
BC's still in the ACC Baseball Championship, but hanging on by a thread. The Eagles face #4 seeded Miami today at noon (NESN). Miami will likely go with ace lefty Chris Hernandez (8-3, 2.94 ERA), while BC will put up Mike Dennhardt (4-7, 7.22 ERA).